Points
43Points expected by the market
45.31Gap
−2.31Yield
−16.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.94 | −43.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 20 | −3.00 | −28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 14 | +3.63 | +11.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.58 | −64.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +1.04 | +2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.21 | −41.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.36 | +9.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −4.04 | −50.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +4.84 | +63.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Roma · Home19 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.12 |
| M2 | Udinese · Home27 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.71 |
| M3 | Parma · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.52 |
| M4 | Genoa · Home19 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.01 |
| M5 | Juventus · Away25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.44 |
| M6 | Benevento · Home2 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.90 |
| M7 | Milan · Away8 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.50 | +2.40 |
| M8 | Sassuolo · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.35 |
| M9 | Atalanta · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.38 | +3.73 |
| M10 | Cagliari · Home6 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +2.86 |
| M11 | Lazio · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | +5.00 |
| M12 | Sampdoria · Home16 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +3.40 |
| M13 | Fiorentina · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.17 |
| M14 | Inter · Home23 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +2.49 |
| M15 | Spezia · Away3 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.90 |
| M16 | Torino · Away6 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +3.65 |
| M17 | Crotone · Home10 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.79 |
| M18 | Bologna · Away16 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +3.63 |
| M19 | Napoli · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +5.67 |
| M20 | Roma · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +4.90 |
| M21 | Udinese · Away7 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +3.60 |
| M22 | Parma · Home15 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +5.06 |
| M23 | Genoa · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +4.72 |
| M24 | Juventus · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | +5.00 |
| M25 | Benevento · Away3 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.46 |
| M26 | Milan · Home7 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +5.19 |
| M27 | Sassuolo · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +3.93 |
| M28 | Atalanta · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +3.09 |
| M29 | Cagliari · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.72 |
| M30 | Lazio · Home11 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +3.65 |
| M31 | Sampdoria · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.25 |
| M32 | Fiorentina · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.84 |
| M33 | Inter · Away25 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | +0.40 |
| M34 | Spezia · Home1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −0.25 |
| M35 | Torino · Home9 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.52 |
| M36 | Crotone · Away13 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −2.29 |
| M37 | Bologna · Home17 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −2.89 |
| M38 | Napoli · Away23 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.58 | −2.31 |
| Total | 43 | −2.31 | |||