Points
27Points expected by the market
35.30Gap
−8.30Yield
−57.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −1.08 | −16.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 11 | −7.23 | −78.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | −0.14 | −6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −4.24 | −51.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −0.94 | −32.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 6 | −2.99 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fiorentina · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.74 |
| M2 | Roma · Away22 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.39 | −1.12 |
| M3 | Torino · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.21 |
| M4 | Inter · Away30 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.29 | −2.50 |
| M5 | Sassuolo · Home4 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.83 |
| M6 | Atalanta · Away11 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.47 | −2.37 |
| M7 | Lazio · Home18 Sep 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.34 |
| M8 | Lecce · Away2 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −3.38 |
| M9 | Napoli · Home9 Oct 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.63 | −4.01 |
| M10 | Spezia · Away16 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −4.26 |
| M11 | Sampdoria · Home24 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −5.84 |
| M12 | Udinese · Home30 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −5.84 |
| M13 | Salernitana · Away5 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −5.98 |
| M14 | Milan · Home8 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | −5.67 |
| M15 | Empoli · Away11 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −6.96 |
| M16 | Juventus · Home4 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −7.82 |
| M17 | Verona · Away9 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −8.95 |
| M18 | Monza · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −10.29 |
| M19 | Bologna · Away23 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −10.12 |
| M20 | Inter · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −10.70 |
| M21 | Lecce · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −12.06 |
| M22 | Napoli · Away12 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.30 | −12.37 |
| M23 | Torino · Away20 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | −12.12 |
| M24 | Roma · Home28 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | −9.93 |
| M25 | Sassuolo · Away6 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −10.87 |
| M26 | Fiorentina · Home12 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −11.73 |
| M27 | Monza · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −11.71 |
| M28 | Atalanta · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −12.42 |
| M29 | Sampdoria · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.86 | −10.56 |
| M30 | Empoli · Home14 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −9.12 |
| M31 | Udinese · Away23 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −9.94 |
| M32 | Verona · Home30 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −10.13 |
| M33 | Milan · Away3 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −9.62 |
| M34 | Spezia · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −8.05 |
| M35 | Juventus · Away14 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −8.54 |
| M36 | Bologna · Home20 May 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.04 | −9.57 |
| M37 | Lazio · Away28 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.38 | −9.95 |
| M38 | Salernitana · Home3 Jun 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −8.30 |
| Total | 27 | −8.30 | |||