Points
43Points expected by the market
39.01Gap
+3.99Yield
+0.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | 0.00 | −29.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 26 | +6.77 | +29.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 12 | −2.78 | −16.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.64 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 21 | +7.68 | +60.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.59 | −29.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.64 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −0.92 | −31.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −0.19 | −10.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Spezia · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.27 |
| M2 | Fiorentina · Home21 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.44 |
| M3 | Lecce · Away28 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.61 |
| M4 | Verona · Home31 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.96 |
| M5 | Salernitana · Away5 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.16 |
| M6 | Roma · Home12 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.99 |
| M7 | Bologna · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −1.10 |
| M8 | Milan · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.84 |
| M9 | Torino · Away9 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −1.64 |
| M10 | Monza · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.02 |
| M11 | Juventus · Away21 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −0.51 |
| M12 | Atalanta · Home30 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.37 |
| M13 | Sassuolo · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +0.45 |
| M14 | Napoli · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.44 | +0.01 |
| M15 | Cremonese · Home11 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.59 |
| M16 | Udinese · Away4 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.78 |
| M17 | Lazio · Away8 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | +2.12 |
| M18 | Sampdoria · Home16 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.46 |
| M19 | Inter · Away23 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.59 | +6.06 |
| M20 | Torino · Home28 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | +5.82 |
| M21 | Roma · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | +5.19 |
| M22 | Spezia · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +4.49 |
| M23 | Fiorentina · Away19 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | +4.71 |
| M24 | Napoli · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.61 | +4.10 |
| M25 | Monza · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +3.11 |
| M26 | Udinese · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.86 |
| M27 | Atalanta · Away17 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.58 | +1.28 |
| M28 | Lecce · Home3 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.87 |
| M29 | Milan · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.48 | +3.35 |
| M30 | Cremonese · Away14 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.19 |
| M31 | Inter · Home23 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | +1.46 |
| M32 | Sassuolo · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.40 |
| M33 | Bologna · Home4 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.05 |
| M34 | Salernitana · Home8 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.43 |
| M35 | Sampdoria · Away15 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.79 |
| M36 | Juventus · Home22 May 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.16 | +4.95 |
| M37 | Verona · Away28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +4.97 |
| M38 | Lazio · Home3 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +3.99 |
| Total | 43 | +3.99 | |||