← Serie A 2022-23

Fiorentina

Season 2022-23 · 38 matches played

Last 5LWDWW

Points

56

Points expected by the market

58.54

Gap

−2.54

Yield

−17.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 2 4 4.55 −0.55 −33.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 16 31 29.63 +1.37 −1.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 16 16.71 −0.71 −17.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 8 5 7.64 −2.64 −43.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Cremonese · Home14 Aug 2022 14 Aug 2022 W 3-2 1.59 2.03 3 +0.97 +0.97 +€0.59
M2 Empoli · Away21 Aug 2022 21 Aug 2022 D 0-0 2.22 1.56 1 −0.56 +0.40 −€1.00
M3 Napoli · Home28 Aug 2022 28 Aug 2022 D 0-0 3.29 1.14 1 −0.14 +0.26 −€1.00
M4 Udinese · Away31 Aug 2022 31 Aug 2022 L 0-1 3.09 1.21 0 −1.21 −0.95 −€1.00
M5 Juventus · Home3 Sep 2022 3 Sep 2022 D 1-1 3.02 1.26 1 −0.26 −1.21 −€1.00
M6 Bologna · Away11 Sep 2022 11 Sep 2022 L 1-2 2.24 1.57 0 −1.57 −2.78 −€1.00
M7 Verona · Home18 Sep 2022 18 Sep 2022 W 2-0 1.84 1.82 3 +1.18 −1.60 +€0.84
M8 Atalanta · Away2 Oct 2022 2 Oct 2022 L 0-1 3.61 1.07 0 −1.07 −2.67 −€1.00
M9 Lazio · Home10 Oct 2022 10 Oct 2022 L 0-4 2.36 1.49 0 −1.49 −4.17 −€1.00
M10 Lecce · Away17 Oct 2022 17 Oct 2022 D 1-1 2.11 1.65 1 −0.65 −4.82 −€1.00
M11 Inter · Home22 Oct 2022 22 Oct 2022 L 3-4 3.32 1.15 0 −1.15 −5.96 −€1.00
M12 Spezia · Away30 Oct 2022 30 Oct 2022 W 2-1 1.91 1.77 3 +1.23 −4.73 +€0.91
M13 Sampdoria · Away6 Nov 2022 6 Nov 2022 W 2-0 1.89 1.79 3 +1.21 −3.52 +€0.89
M14 Salernitana · Home9 Nov 2022 9 Nov 2022 W 2-1 1.55 2.08 3 +0.92 −2.60 +€0.55
M15 Milan · Away13 Nov 2022 13 Nov 2022 L 1-2 5.23 0.79 0 −0.79 −3.39 −€1.00
M16 Monza · Home4 Jan 2023 4 Jan 2023 D 1-1 1.83 1.83 1 −0.83 −4.22 −€1.00
M17 Sassuolo · Home7 Jan 2023 7 Jan 2023 W 2-1 1.80 1.84 3 +1.16 −3.06 +€0.80
M18 Roma · Away15 Jan 2023 15 Jan 2023 L 0-2 3.68 1.07 0 −1.07 −4.13 −€1.00
M19 Torino · Home21 Jan 2023 21 Jan 2023 L 0-1 1.89 1.80 0 −1.80 −5.93 −€1.00
M20 Lazio · Away29 Jan 2023 29 Jan 2023 D 1-1 3.93 1.02 1 −0.02 −5.95 −€1.00
M21 Bologna · Home5 Feb 2023 5 Feb 2023 L 1-2 1.82 1.84 0 −1.84 −7.79 −€1.00
M22 Juventus · Away12 Feb 2023 12 Feb 2023 L 0-1 5.17 0.83 0 −0.83 −8.62 −€1.00
M23 Empoli · Home19 Feb 2023 19 Feb 2023 D 1-1 1.65 1.98 1 −0.98 −9.60 −€1.00
M24 Verona · Away27 Feb 2023 27 Feb 2023 W 3-0 2.24 1.58 3 +1.42 −8.18 +€1.24
M25 Milan · Home4 Mar 2023 4 Mar 2023 W 2-1 2.75 1.35 3 +1.65 −6.52 +€1.75
M26 Cremonese · Away12 Mar 2023 12 Mar 2023 W 2-0 1.77 1.88 3 +1.12 −5.40 +€0.77
M27 Lecce · Home19 Mar 2023 19 Mar 2023 W 1-0 1.60 2.04 3 +0.96 −4.45 +€0.60
M28 Inter · Away1 Apr 2023 1 Apr 2023 W 1-0 4.53 0.90 3 +2.10 −2.35 +€3.53
M29 Spezia · Home8 Apr 2023 8 Apr 2023 D 1-1 1.41 2.23 1 −1.23 −3.58 −€1.00
M30 Atalanta · Home17 Apr 2023 17 Apr 2023 D 1-1 2.36 1.50 1 −0.50 −4.08 −€1.00
M31 Monza · Away23 Apr 2023 23 Apr 2023 L 2-3 2.16 1.62 0 −1.62 −5.70 −€1.00
M32 Sampdoria · Home30 Apr 2023 30 Apr 2023 W 5-0 1.34 2.32 3 +0.68 −5.02 +€0.34
M33 Salernitana · Away3 May 2023 3 May 2023 D 3-3 1.82 1.83 1 −0.83 −5.85 −€1.00
M34 Napoli · Away7 May 2023 7 May 2023 L 0-1 4.45 0.90 0 −0.90 −6.76 −€1.00
M35 Udinese · Home14 May 2023 14 May 2023 W 2-0 1.84 1.82 3 +1.18 −5.57 +€0.84
M36 Torino · Away21 May 2023 21 May 2023 D 1-1 3.80 1.05 1 −0.05 −5.63 −€1.00
M37 Roma · Home27 May 2023 27 May 2023 W 2-1 2.23 1.57 3 +1.43 −4.20 +€1.23
M38 Sassuolo · Away2 Jun 2023 2 Jun 2023 W 3-1 2.67 1.34 3 +1.66 −2.54 +€1.67
Total 58.54 56 −2.54 −€6.45