Points
72Points expected by the market
66.80Gap
+5.20Yield
+10.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.54 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 42 | +5.15 | +16.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −3.34 | −20.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.15 | +34.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.54 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +3.42 | +17.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.41 | −22.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +1.73 | +15.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.93 | −18.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.15 | +34.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sassuolo · Home15 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.85 |
| M2 | Sampdoria · Away22 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | −0.13 |
| M3 | Roma · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.60 |
| M4 | Spezia · Home31 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +0.01 |
| M5 | Fiorentina · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.42 |
| M6 | Salernitana · Home11 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.10 | −1.52 |
| M7 | Monza · Away18 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | −3.32 |
| M8 | Bologna · Home2 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −2.43 |
| M9 | Milan · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.51 |
| M10 | Torino · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −1.92 |
| M11 | Empoli · Home21 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −1.20 |
| M12 | Lecce · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.16 |
| M13 | Inter · Home6 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.93 |
| M14 | Verona · Away10 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +2.92 |
| M15 | Lazio · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +4.12 |
| M16 | Cremonese · Away4 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +5.25 |
| M17 | Udinese · Home7 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +6.33 |
| M18 | Napoli · Away13 Jan 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.06 | +5.26 |
| M19 | Atalanta · Home22 Jan 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.62 | +4.65 |
| M20 | Monza · Home29 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.00 | +2.65 |
| M21 | Salernitana · Away7 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +3.52 |
| M22 | Fiorentina · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.62 |
| M23 | Spezia · Away19 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +5.63 |
| M24 | Torino · Home28 Feb 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.68 |
| M25 | Roma · Away5 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +5.34 |
| M26 | Sampdoria · Home12 Mar 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.68 | +6.02 |
| M27 | Inter · Away19 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +8.01 |
| M28 | Verona · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +8.92 |
| M29 | Lazio · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +7.58 |
| M30 | Sassuolo · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | +6.01 |
| M31 | Napoli · Home23 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +4.75 |
| M32 | Bologna · Away30 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +4.14 |
| M33 | Lecce · Home3 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +5.05 |
| M34 | Atalanta · Away7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +6.83 |
| M35 | Cremonese · Home14 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +7.51 |
| M36 | Empoli · Away22 May 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.89 | +5.63 |
| M37 | Milan · Home28 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +4.17 |
| M38 | Udinese · Away4 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.20 |
| Total | 72 | +5.20 | |||