Points
74Points expected by the market
61.05Gap
+12.95Yield
+39.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.04 | +34.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 38 | +2.93 | +6.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.54 | +30.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 12 | +5.44 | +143.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.04 | +34.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −2.51 | −25.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.69 | +46.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.02 | +299.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +5.44 | +34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.85 | 0.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 9 | +3.42 | +117.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bologna · Home14 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.08 |
| M2 | Torino · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.64 |
| M3 | Inter · Home26 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +2.66 |
| M4 | Sampdoria · Away31 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +1.88 |
| M5 | Napoli · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.57 |
| M6 | Verona · Home11 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.58 |
| M7 | Cremonese · Away18 Sep 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.81 |
| M8 | Spezia · Home2 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +3.59 |
| M9 | Fiorentina · Away10 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +5.35 |
| M10 | Udinese · Home16 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +4.84 |
| M11 | Atalanta · Away23 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +6.78 |
| M12 | Salernitana · Home30 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.13 | +4.65 |
| M13 | Roma · Away6 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +6.57 |
| M14 | Monza · Home10 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +7.64 |
| M15 | Juventus · Away13 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +6.73 |
| M16 | Lecce · Away4 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +5.07 |
| M17 | Empoli · Home8 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.12 | +3.95 |
| M18 | Sassuolo · Away15 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.24 |
| M19 | Milan · Home24 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +6.94 |
| M20 | Fiorentina · Home29 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +6.24 |
| M21 | Verona · Away6 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +5.46 |
| M22 | Atalanta · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +3.88 |
| M23 | Salernitana · Away19 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +4.99 |
| M24 | Sampdoria · Home27 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +5.73 |
| M25 | Napoli · Away3 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +7.98 |
| M26 | Bologna · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +7.51 |
| M27 | Roma · Home19 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +9.24 |
| M28 | Monza · Away2 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +10.61 |
| M29 | Juventus · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +12.27 |
| M30 | Spezia · Away14 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +13.42 |
| M31 | Torino · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +11.64 |
| M32 | Inter · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +10.75 |
| M33 | Sassuolo · Home3 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +11.79 |
| M34 | Milan · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +10.88 |
| M35 | Lecce · Home12 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | +9.92 |
| M36 | Udinese · Away21 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +11.20 |
| M37 | Cremonese · Home28 May 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.52 | +11.72 |
| M38 | Empoli · Away3 Jun 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +12.95 |
| Total | 74 | +12.95 | |||