← Serie A 2022-23

Milan

Season 2022-23 · 38 matches played

Last 5WLWWW

Points

70

Points expected by the market

70.01

Gap

−0.01

Yield

−1.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 10 21 23.27 −2.27 −19.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 17 34 32.17 +1.83 +2.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 12 12.60 −0.60 −11.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 3 1.95 +1.05 +108.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Udinese · Home13 Aug 2022 13 Aug 2022 W 4-2 1.48 2.15 3 +0.85 +0.85 +€0.48
M2 Atalanta · Away21 Aug 2022 21 Aug 2022 D 1-1 2.43 1.45 1 −0.45 +0.39 −€1.00
M3 Bologna · Home27 Aug 2022 27 Aug 2022 W 2-0 1.34 2.33 3 +0.67 +1.07 +€0.34
M4 Sassuolo · Away30 Aug 2022 30 Aug 2022 D 0-0 1.64 1.98 1 −0.98 +0.08 −€1.00
M5 Inter · Home3 Sep 2022 3 Sep 2022 W 3-2 2.72 1.36 3 +1.64 +1.73 +€1.72
M6 Sampdoria · Away10 Sep 2022 10 Sep 2022 W 2-1 1.50 2.14 3 +0.86 +2.59 +€0.50
M7 Napoli · Home18 Sep 2022 18 Sep 2022 L 1-2 2.31 1.54 0 −1.54 +1.05 −€1.00
M8 Empoli · Away1 Oct 2022 1 Oct 2022 W 3-1 1.58 2.04 3 +0.96 +2.01 +€0.58
M9 Juventus · Home8 Oct 2022 8 Oct 2022 W 2-0 2.15 1.63 3 +1.37 +3.38 +€1.15
M10 Verona · Away16 Oct 2022 16 Oct 2022 W 2-1 1.53 2.10 3 +0.90 +4.28 +€0.53
M11 Monza · Home22 Oct 2022 22 Oct 2022 W 4-1 1.47 2.17 3 +0.83 +5.11 +€0.47
M12 Torino · Away30 Oct 2022 30 Oct 2022 L 1-2 2.08 1.67 0 −1.67 +3.44 −€1.00
M13 Spezia · Home5 Nov 2022 5 Nov 2022 W 2-1 1.22 2.50 3 +0.50 +3.94 +€0.22
M14 Cremonese · Away8 Nov 2022 8 Nov 2022 D 0-0 1.56 2.08 1 −1.08 +2.87 −€1.00
M15 Fiorentina · Home13 Nov 2022 13 Nov 2022 W 2-1 1.66 1.97 3 +1.03 +3.90 +€0.66
M16 Salernitana · Away4 Jan 2023 4 Jan 2023 W 2-1 1.39 2.27 3 +0.73 +4.63 +€0.39
M17 Roma · Home8 Jan 2023 8 Jan 2023 D 2-2 1.85 1.81 1 −0.81 +3.82 −€1.00
M18 Lecce · Away14 Jan 2023 14 Jan 2023 D 2-2 1.72 1.92 1 −0.92 +2.90 −€1.00
M19 Lazio · Away24 Jan 2023 24 Jan 2023 L 0-4 2.59 1.40 0 −1.40 +1.50 −€1.00
M20 Sassuolo · Home29 Jan 2023 29 Jan 2023 L 2-5 1.46 2.17 0 −2.17 −0.67 −€1.00
M21 Inter · Away5 Feb 2023 5 Feb 2023 L 0-1 4.16 0.98 0 −0.98 −1.64 −€1.00
M22 Torino · Home10 Feb 2023 10 Feb 2023 W 1-0 1.75 1.91 3 +1.09 −0.55 +€0.75
M23 Monza · Away18 Feb 2023 18 Feb 2023 W 1-0 2.19 1.60 3 +1.40 +0.84 +€1.19
M24 Atalanta · Home26 Feb 2023 26 Feb 2023 W 2-0 2.24 1.57 3 +1.43 +2.28 +€1.24
M25 Fiorentina · Away4 Mar 2023 4 Mar 2023 L 1-2 2.73 1.35 0 −1.35 +0.92 −€1.00
M26 Salernitana · Home13 Mar 2023 13 Mar 2023 D 1-1 1.25 2.46 1 −1.46 −0.53 −€1.00
M27 Udinese · Away18 Mar 2023 18 Mar 2023 L 1-3 2.09 1.65 0 −1.65 −2.19 −€1.00
M28 Napoli · Away2 Apr 2023 2 Apr 2023 W 4-0 4.16 0.98 3 +2.02 −0.16 +€3.16
M29 Empoli · Home7 Apr 2023 7 Apr 2023 D 0-0 1.38 2.28 1 −1.28 −1.44 −€1.00
M30 Bologna · Away15 Apr 2023 15 Apr 2023 D 1-1 2.72 1.38 1 −0.38 −1.82 −€1.00
M31 Lecce · Home23 Apr 2023 23 Apr 2023 W 2-0 1.55 2.10 3 +0.90 −0.92 +€0.55
M32 Roma · Away29 Apr 2023 29 Apr 2023 D 1-1 2.94 1.30 1 −0.30 −1.22 −€1.00
M33 Cremonese · Home3 May 2023 3 May 2023 D 1-1 1.35 2.32 1 −1.32 −2.54 −€1.00
M34 Lazio · Home6 May 2023 6 May 2023 W 2-0 1.86 1.82 3 +1.18 −1.36 +€0.86
M35 Spezia · Away13 May 2023 13 May 2023 L 0-2 1.88 1.80 0 −1.80 −3.16 −€1.00
M36 Sampdoria · Home20 May 2023 20 May 2023 W 5-1 1.13 2.64 3 +0.36 −2.80 +€0.13
M37 Juventus · Away28 May 2023 28 May 2023 W 1-0 2.99 1.25 3 +1.75 −1.05 +€1.99
M38 Verona · Home4 Jun 2023 4 Jun 2023 W 3-1 1.68 1.95 3 +1.05 −0.01 +€0.68
Total 70.01 70 −0.01 −€0.41