Points
63Points expected by the market
63.75Gap
−0.75Yield
−11.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 18 | +4.40 | +39.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 32 | −2.51 | −14.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −3.80 | −45.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.16 | +21.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.56 | +37.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −1.35 | −7.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.07 | −27.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.16 | −21.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.73 | −58.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.16 | +21.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Salernitana · Away14 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.84 |
| M2 | Cremonese · Home22 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +1.37 |
| M3 | Juventus · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.15 |
| M4 | Monza · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.81 |
| M5 | Udinese · Away4 Sep 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.11 |
| M6 | Empoli · Away12 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.19 |
| M7 | Atalanta · Home18 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.44 |
| M8 | Inter · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +1.49 |
| M9 | Lecce · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.33 |
| M10 | Sampdoria · Away17 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +3.37 |
| M11 | Napoli · Home23 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.18 |
| M12 | Verona · Away31 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +3.38 |
| M13 | Lazio · Home6 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +1.74 |
| M14 | Sassuolo · Away9 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +1.15 |
| M15 | Torino · Home13 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | +0.30 |
| M16 | Bologna · Home4 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.33 |
| M17 | Milan · Away8 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +1.40 |
| M18 | Fiorentina · Home15 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.77 |
| M19 | Spezia · Away22 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +3.87 |
| M20 | Napoli · Away29 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +3.03 |
| M21 | Empoli · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +3.88 |
| M22 | Lecce · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +3.18 |
| M23 | Verona · Home19 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.28 |
| M24 | Cremonese · Away28 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | +2.36 |
| M25 | Juventus · Home5 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.04 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Home12 Mar 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.93 | +2.11 |
| M27 | Lazio · Away19 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.71 |
| M28 | Sampdoria · Home2 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +1.39 |
| M29 | Torino · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.91 |
| M30 | Udinese · Home16 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.09 |
| M31 | Atalanta · Away24 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.88 |
| M32 | Milan · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.51 |
| M33 | Monza · Away3 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +1.83 |
| M34 | Inter · Home6 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.64 |
| M35 | Bologna · Away14 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.36 |
| M36 | Salernitana · Home22 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.10 | −0.74 |
| M37 | Fiorentina · Away27 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.88 |
| M38 | Spezia · Home4 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −0.75 |
| Total | 63 | −0.75 | |||