Points
42Points expected by the market
35.90Gap
+6.10Yield
−13.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.38 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.18 | +0.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 23 | +3.55 | −24.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.38 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +3.99 | +58.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | +1.25 | −23.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −2.81 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 13 | +2.30 | −24.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Roma · Home14 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −0.63 |
| M2 | Udinese · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.44 |
| M3 | Sampdoria · Home28 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.09 |
| M4 | Bologna · Away1 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.01 |
| M5 | Empoli · Home5 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | +0.50 |
| M6 | Juventus · Away11 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.84 |
| M7 | Lecce · Home16 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.74 |
| M8 | Sassuolo · Away2 Oct 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.83 |
| M9 | Verona · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.26 |
| M10 | Inter · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −0.71 |
| M11 | Spezia · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.66 |
| M12 | Lazio · Away30 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.35 | +3.01 |
| M13 | Cremonese · Home5 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +2.43 |
| M14 | Fiorentina · Away9 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | +1.73 |
| M15 | Monza · Away13 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.74 |
| M16 | Milan · Home4 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +0.20 |
| M17 | Torino · Home8 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.16 |
| M18 | Atalanta · Away15 Jan 2023 | L 2-8 | 0 | −0.47 | −0.31 |
| M19 | Napoli · Home21 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −0.78 |
| M20 | Lecce · Away27 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | +1.34 |
| M21 | Juventus · Home7 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.65 | +0.69 |
| M22 | Verona · Away13 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.15 |
| M23 | Lazio · Home19 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.00 |
| M24 | Monza · Home26 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.94 |
| M25 | Sampdoria · Away5 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.80 |
| M26 | Milan · Away13 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.62 | +1.41 |
| M27 | Bologna · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.30 |
| M28 | Spezia · Away2 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +1.10 |
| M29 | Inter · Home7 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | +1.44 |
| M30 | Torino · Away16 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | +1.72 |
| M31 | Sassuolo · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.56 |
| M32 | Napoli · Away30 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.68 | +4.24 |
| M33 | Fiorentina · Home3 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.09 | +4.33 |
| M34 | Empoli · Away8 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +3.27 |
| M35 | Atalanta · Home13 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +5.43 |
| M36 | Roma · Away22 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | +5.78 |
| M37 | Udinese · Home27 May 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +7.48 |
| M38 | Cremonese · Away3 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +6.10 |
| Total | 42 | +6.10 | |||