Points
19Points expected by the market
33.76Gap
−14.76Yield
−70.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −6.47 | −41.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 11 | −8.29 | −82.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.66 | −57.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −5.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −1.81 | −14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 6 | −3.27 | −67.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atalanta · Home13 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.78 |
| M2 | Juventus · Home22 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −0.55 |
| M3 | Salernitana · Away28 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.78 |
| M4 | Lazio · Home31 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −1.73 |
| M5 | Verona · Away4 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.89 |
| M6 | Milan · Home10 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.53 |
| M7 | Spezia · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −4.83 |
| M8 | Monza · Home2 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −6.29 |
| M9 | Bologna · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.34 |
| M10 | Roma · Home17 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −7.13 |
| M11 | Cremonese · Away24 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −5.26 |
| M12 | Inter · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −5.61 |
| M13 | Fiorentina · Home6 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −6.54 |
| M14 | Torino · Away9 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −7.28 |
| M15 | Lecce · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −8.60 |
| M16 | Sassuolo · Away4 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −6.44 |
| M17 | Napoli · Home8 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −7.05 |
| M18 | Empoli · Away16 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −8.10 |
| M19 | Udinese · Home22 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −9.27 |
| M20 | Atalanta · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −9.75 |
| M21 | Monza · Away6 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −9.61 |
| M22 | Inter · Home13 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.50 | −9.11 |
| M23 | Bologna · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −10.24 |
| M24 | Lazio · Away27 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | −10.76 |
| M25 | Salernitana · Home5 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −11.31 |
| M26 | Juventus · Away12 Mar 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.48 | −11.79 |
| M27 | Verona · Home19 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −10.06 |
| M28 | Roma · Away2 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −10.54 |
| M29 | Cremonese · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −12.10 |
| M30 | Lecce · Away16 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −11.91 |
| M31 | Spezia · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −12.25 |
| M32 | Fiorentina · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.50 | −12.75 |
| M33 | Torino · Home3 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −13.63 |
| M34 | Udinese · Away8 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −14.28 |
| M35 | Empoli · Home15 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −14.36 |
| M36 | Milan · Away20 May 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.25 | −14.61 |
| M37 | Sassuolo · Home26 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −14.56 |
| M38 | Napoli · Away4 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.20 | −14.76 |
| Total | 19 | −14.76 | |||