Points
45Points expected by the market
46.54Gap
−1.54Yield
+1.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.90 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −5.33 | −42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 14 | +1.89 | +35.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +2.70 | +37.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.49 | −20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.50 | −23.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.80 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.84 | −62.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +2.39 | +65.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juventus · Away15 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.65 |
| M2 | Lecce · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.53 |
| M3 | Spezia · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.01 |
| M4 | Milan · Home30 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.20 |
| M5 | Cremonese · Away4 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.19 |
| M6 | Udinese · Home11 Sep 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.54 |
| M7 | Torino · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +0.56 |
| M8 | Salernitana · Home2 Oct 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.92 |
| M9 | Inter · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.01 |
| M10 | Atalanta · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.22 |
| M11 | Verona · Home24 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.65 |
| M12 | Napoli · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.44 | +1.21 |
| M13 | Empoli · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.35 |
| M14 | Roma · Home9 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.48 |
| M15 | Bologna · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.65 |
| M16 | Sampdoria · Home4 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −3.56 |
| M17 | Fiorentina · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −4.48 |
| M18 | Lazio · Home15 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −5.51 |
| M19 | Monza · Away22 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −5.62 |
| M20 | Milan · Away29 Jan 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +2.37 | −3.25 |
| M21 | Atalanta · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | −1.25 |
| M22 | Udinese · Away12 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.29 |
| M23 | Napoli · Home17 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.05 |
| M24 | Lecce · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.31 |
| M25 | Cremonese · Home6 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.90 |
| M26 | Roma · Away12 Mar 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.20 | +3.10 |
| M27 | Spezia · Home17 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.23 |
| M28 | Torino · Home3 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.77 |
| M29 | Verona · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.54 |
| M30 | Juventus · Home16 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +4.39 |
| M31 | Salernitana · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.58 | +2.82 |
| M32 | Empoli · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.15 |
| M33 | Lazio · Away3 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.35 |
| M34 | Bologna · Home8 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +2.90 |
| M35 | Inter · Away13 May 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.63 | +2.28 |
| M36 | Monza · Home19 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +0.66 |
| M37 | Sampdoria · Away26 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | −0.14 |
| M38 | Fiorentina · Home2 Jun 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.54 |
| Total | 45 | −1.54 | |||