Points
31Points expected by the market
36.61Gap
−5.61Yield
−31.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.58 | −57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 18 | −2.03 | −18.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.93 | −49.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +0.66 | +36.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 10 | −2.69 | −47.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Empoli · Home14 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.55 |
| M2 | Inter · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.25 | +1.29 |
| M3 | Sassuolo · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.10 |
| M4 | Juventus · Away31 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.44 | +0.67 |
| M5 | Bologna · Home4 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.46 |
| M6 | Napoli · Away10 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | +0.01 |
| M7 | Sampdoria · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.62 |
| M8 | Lazio · Away2 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.59 | +1.03 |
| M9 | Monza · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.03 |
| M10 | Cremonese · Home16 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.43 |
| M11 | Salernitana · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.52 |
| M12 | Fiorentina · Home30 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.49 |
| M13 | Milan · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −2.85 |
| M14 | Udinese · Home8 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.87 |
| M15 | Verona · Away13 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.90 |
| M16 | Atalanta · Home4 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.76 |
| M17 | Lecce · Home8 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.28 |
| M18 | Torino · Away15 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +0.90 |
| M19 | Roma · Home22 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +0.08 |
| M20 | Bologna · Away27 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.83 |
| M21 | Napoli · Home5 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.37 |
| M22 | Empoli · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −1.39 |
| M23 | Juventus · Home19 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.15 |
| M24 | Udinese · Away26 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −2.01 |
| M25 | Verona · Home5 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.47 |
| M26 | Inter · Home10 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.44 | −0.04 |
| M27 | Sassuolo · Away17 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.92 |
| M28 | Salernitana · Home2 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −1.42 |
| M29 | Fiorentina · Away8 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.98 |
| M30 | Lazio · Home14 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.85 |
| M31 | Sampdoria · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.22 |
| M32 | Monza · Home28 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.54 |
| M33 | Atalanta · Away3 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −4.09 |
| M34 | Cremonese · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −5.37 |
| M35 | Milan · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −3.30 |
| M36 | Lecce · Away21 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −3.30 |
| M37 | Torino · Home27 May 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −4.73 |
| M38 | Roma · Away4 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −5.61 |
| Total | 31 | −5.61 | |||