Points
53Points expected by the market
52.29Gap
+0.71Yield
+8.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 19 | −5.15 | −43.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.44 | +19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 13 | +3.42 | +55.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 12 | −7.00 | −66.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.31 | −31.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.10 | +92.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.85 | +32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.75 | +70.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +2.32 | +47.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Monza · Away13 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.71 |
| M2 | Lazio · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.44 |
| M3 | Cremonese · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.80 |
| M4 | Atalanta · Away1 Sep 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.86 |
| M5 | Lecce · Home5 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +2.91 |
| M6 | Inter · Away10 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | +2.20 |
| M7 | Sassuolo · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | +0.37 |
| M8 | Napoli · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.38 |
| M9 | Empoli · Home9 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | −1.34 |
| M10 | Juventus · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.60 |
| M11 | Udinese · Away23 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −0.58 |
| M12 | Milan · Home30 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.38 |
| M13 | Bologna · Away6 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.06 |
| M14 | Sampdoria · Home9 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +0.95 |
| M15 | Roma · Away13 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +1.09 |
| M16 | Verona · Home4 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +0.08 |
| M17 | Salernitana · Away8 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.59 |
| M18 | Spezia · Home15 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −2.50 |
| M19 | Fiorentina · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −0.42 |
| M20 | Empoli · Away28 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.87 |
| M21 | Udinese · Home5 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.66 |
| M22 | Milan · Away10 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.16 |
| M23 | Cremonese · Home20 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −1.14 |
| M24 | Juventus · Away28 Feb 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.92 |
| M25 | Bologna · Home6 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.47 |
| M26 | Lecce · Away12 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.22 |
| M27 | Napoli · Home19 Mar 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.36 |
| M28 | Sassuolo · Away3 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.11 |
| M29 | Roma · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.08 |
| M30 | Salernitana · Home16 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −2.11 |
| M31 | Lazio · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −0.03 |
| M32 | Atalanta · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.19 |
| M33 | Sampdoria · Away3 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −0.04 |
| M34 | Monza · Home7 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −0.73 |
| M35 | Verona · Away14 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.03 |
| M36 | Fiorentina · Home21 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +0.37 |
| M37 | Spezia · Away27 May 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.11 |
| M38 | Inter · Home3 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.71 |
| Total | 53 | +0.71 | |||