Points
46Points expected by the market
51.57Gap
−5.57Yield
−24.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 18 | −7.63 | −61.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +3.15 | +20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | −1.09 | −19.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 13 | −7.57 | −70.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.03 | +16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.34 | +87.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | −0.06 | −28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.12 | +20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −5.42 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Milan · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.64 |
| M2 | Salernitana · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | −1.59 |
| M3 | Monza · Away26 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.10 |
| M4 | Fiorentina · Home31 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.39 |
| M5 | Roma · Home4 Sep 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +3.37 |
| M6 | Sassuolo · Away11 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.00 |
| M7 | Inter · Home18 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +6.96 |
| M8 | Verona · Away3 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +8.34 |
| M9 | Atalanta · Home9 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +7.88 |
| M10 | Lazio · Away16 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +7.66 |
| M11 | Torino · Home23 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +5.92 |
| M12 | Cremonese · Away30 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +5.18 |
| M13 | Lecce · Home4 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +4.18 |
| M14 | Spezia · Away8 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +3.48 |
| M15 | Napoli · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +2.82 |
| M16 | Empoli · Home4 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +1.87 |
| M17 | Juventus · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.06 |
| M18 | Bologna · Home15 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −0.72 |
| M19 | Sampdoria · Away22 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +0.74 |
| M20 | Verona · Home30 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.04 |
| M21 | Torino · Away5 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.26 |
| M22 | Sassuolo · Home12 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.95 |
| M23 | Inter · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −2.54 |
| M24 | Spezia · Home26 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | −3.42 |
| M25 | Atalanta · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −3.25 |
| M26 | Empoli · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.72 |
| M27 | Milan · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.22 |
| M28 | Bologna · Away2 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.92 |
| M29 | Monza · Home8 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −1.68 |
| M30 | Roma · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.57 |
| M31 | Cremonese · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −1.49 |
| M32 | Lecce · Away28 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.57 |
| M33 | Napoli · Home4 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −2.30 |
| M34 | Sampdoria · Home8 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −1.43 |
| M35 | Fiorentina · Away14 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.35 |
| M36 | Lazio · Home21 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.36 |
| M37 | Salernitana · Away27 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −4.77 |
| M38 | Juventus · Home4 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −5.57 |
| Total | 46 | −5.57 | |||