Points
31Points expected by the market
42.64Gap
−11.64Yield
−53.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.35 | −41.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −2.77 | −25.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 8 | −7.52 | −78.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.35 | −41.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +3.33 | +32.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −5.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 3 | −6.10 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −2.46 | −66.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Napoli · Home15 Aug 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.03 |
| M2 | Bologna · Away21 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.10 |
| M3 | Atalanta · Home28 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.10 |
| M4 | Empoli · Away31 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.46 |
| M5 | Sampdoria · Home4 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.02 |
| M6 | Lazio · Away11 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.80 |
| M7 | Fiorentina · Away18 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.72 |
| M8 | Udinese · Home3 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.83 |
| M9 | Salernitana · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −5.11 |
| M10 | Milan · Home16 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.79 |
| M11 | Sassuolo · Away24 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.95 |
| M12 | Roma · Home31 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −7.88 |
| M13 | Monza · Away6 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −9.01 |
| M14 | Juventus · Home10 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −9.75 |
| M15 | Spezia · Home13 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −11.45 |
| M16 | Torino · Away4 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −11.19 |
| M17 | Cremonese · Home9 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −9.77 |
| M18 | Inter · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −10.27 |
| M19 | Lecce · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −8.85 |
| M20 | Udinese · Away30 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −8.79 |
| M21 | Lazio · Home6 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −8.73 |
| M22 | Salernitana · Home13 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −7.62 |
| M23 | Roma · Away19 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −8.44 |
| M24 | Fiorentina · Home27 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −9.56 |
| M25 | Spezia · Away5 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −9.79 |
| M26 | Monza · Home12 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −10.23 |
| M27 | Sampdoria · Away19 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −11.65 |
| M28 | Juventus · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | −12.31 |
| M29 | Sassuolo · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −10.78 |
| M30 | Napoli · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.39 | −10.39 |
| M31 | Bologna · Home21 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −8.75 |
| M32 | Cremonese · Away30 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −9.27 |
| M33 | Inter · Home3 May 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.74 | −10.01 |
| M34 | Lecce · Away7 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −8.03 |
| M35 | Torino · Home14 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −9.47 |
| M36 | Atalanta · Away20 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −10.08 |
| M37 | Empoli · Home28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −10.83 |
| M38 | Milan · Away4 Jun 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −11.64 |
| Total | 31 | −11.64 | |||