Points
69Points expected by the market
65.45Gap
+3.55Yield
+0.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 22 | +3.71 | +18.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 34 | +4.64 | +26.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −2.95 | −30.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +3.13 | +17.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +1.65 | +23.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.23 | +24.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.58 | +27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +2.98 | +29.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.18 | −57.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.75 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sassuolo · Away20 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.39 |
| M2 | Frosinone · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −0.59 |
| M3 | Monza · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +0.48 |
| M4 | Fiorentina · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.89 |
| M5 | Cagliari · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −0.11 |
| M6 | Verona · Away27 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.10 |
| M7 | Juventus · Home1 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.61 |
| M8 | Lazio · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.81 |
| M9 | Genoa · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.08 |
| M10 | Empoli · Away30 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.11 |
| M11 | Inter · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.02 |
| M12 | Udinese · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.60 |
| M13 | Napoli · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.01 |
| M14 | Torino · Away4 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −3.44 |
| M15 | Milan · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.88 |
| M16 | Salernitana · Home18 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.56 | −1.32 |
| M17 | Bologna · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.67 |
| M18 | Lecce · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −1.96 |
| M19 | Roma · Away7 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −2.09 |
| M20 | Frosinone · Home15 Jan 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −1.34 |
| M21 | Udinese · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −0.47 |
| M22 | Lazio · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.84 |
| M23 | Genoa · Away11 Feb 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.14 |
| M24 | Sassuolo · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +2.80 |
| M25 | Milan · Away25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +2.57 |
| M26 | Inter · Away28 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.75 | +1.82 |
| M27 | Bologna · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.12 |
| M28 | Juventus · Away10 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.01 |
| M29 | Napoli · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.88 |
| M30 | Cagliari · Away7 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −0.01 |
| M31 | Verona · Home15 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.19 | −1.20 |
| M32 | Monza · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.04 |
| M33 | Empoli · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.89 |
| M34 | Salernitana · Away6 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +1.48 |
| M35 | Roma · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.70 |
| M36 | Lecce · Away18 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +4.01 |
| M37 | Torino · Home26 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +5.57 |
| M38 | Fiorentina · Home2 Jun 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.02 | +3.55 |
| Total | 69 | +3.55 | |||