Points
68Points expected by the market
55.60Gap
+12.40Yield
+12.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.60 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 27 | +5.85 | +27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 25 | +2.36 | +0.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 13 | +3.59 | +14.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.60 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 20 | +4.14 | +26.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 17 | +6.87 | +83.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.14 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.72 | +30.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −4.51 | −64.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 12 | +5.74 | +64.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Milan · Home21 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.03 |
| M2 | Juventus · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.84 |
| M3 | Cagliari · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.30 |
| M4 | Verona · Away18 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.28 |
| M5 | Napoli · Home24 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.36 |
| M6 | Monza · Away28 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.54 |
| M7 | Empoli · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +0.53 |
| M8 | Inter · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.52 | +1.05 |
| M9 | Frosinone · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.15 |
| M10 | Sassuolo · Away28 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.82 |
| M11 | Lazio · Home3 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.45 |
| M12 | Fiorentina · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +2.42 |
| M13 | Torino · Home27 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.89 |
| M14 | Lecce · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +3.46 |
| M15 | Salernitana · Away10 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.64 |
| M16 | Roma · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +6.15 |
| M17 | Atalanta · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +7.82 |
| M18 | Udinese · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | +6.25 |
| M19 | Genoa · Home5 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +5.67 |
| M20 | Cagliari · Away14 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +4.19 |
| M21 | Milan · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | +4.38 |
| M22 | Sassuolo · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.98 | +5.36 |
| M23 | Lecce · Home11 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +6.38 |
| M24 | Fiorentina · Home14 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.91 |
| M25 | Lazio · Away18 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +9.69 |
| M26 | Verona · Home23 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +10.66 |
| M27 | Atalanta · Away3 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +12.64 |
| M28 | Inter · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +11.61 |
| M29 | Empoli · Away15 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +12.92 |
| M30 | Salernitana · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +13.52 |
| M31 | Frosinone · Away7 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +12.75 |
| M32 | Monza · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.12 | +11.62 |
| M33 | Roma · Away22 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +13.48 |
| M34 | Udinese · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +12.47 |
| M35 | Torino · Away3 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +12.15 |
| M36 | Napoli · Away11 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +14.18 |
| M37 | Juventus · Home20 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.35 | +13.83 |
| M38 | Genoa · Away24 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +12.40 |
| Total | 68 | +12.40 | |||