Points
36Points expected by the market
39.68Gap
−3.68Yield
−38.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.75 | −54.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +6.74 | +53.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 9 | −9.67 | −79.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.75 | −54.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +5.77 | +77.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −3.03 | −47.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.97 | +24.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 4 | −6.64 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Torino · Away21 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.29 |
| M2 | Inter · Home28 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | −0.29 |
| M3 | Bologna · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.17 |
| M4 | Udinese · Home17 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.46 |
| M5 | Atalanta · Away24 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | −2.04 |
| M6 | Milan · Home27 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.95 |
| M7 | Fiorentina · Away2 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.63 |
| M8 | Roma · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −4.47 |
| M9 | Salernitana · Away22 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −4.65 |
| M10 | Frosinone · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.41 | −3.24 |
| M11 | Genoa · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.62 |
| M12 | Juventus · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −2.21 |
| M13 | Monza · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.56 |
| M14 | Lazio · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.36 |
| M15 | Sassuolo · Home11 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −1.77 |
| M16 | Napoli · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −2.33 |
| M17 | Verona · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.55 |
| M18 | Empoli · Home30 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −4.21 |
| M19 | Lecce · Away6 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.32 |
| M20 | Bologna · Home14 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −2.53 |
| M21 | Frosinone · Away21 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.75 |
| M22 | Torino · Home26 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.84 |
| M23 | Roma · Away5 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −5.45 |
| M24 | Lazio · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −6.54 |
| M25 | Udinese · Away18 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −6.48 |
| M26 | Napoli · Home25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −6.38 |
| M27 | Empoli · Away3 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −4.54 |
| M28 | Salernitana · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.17 | −3.37 |
| M29 | Monza · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.38 |
| M30 | Verona · Home1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −5.01 |
| M31 | Atalanta · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −2.87 |
| M32 | Inter · Away14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.69 | −2.18 |
| M33 | Juventus · Home19 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | −2.08 |
| M34 | Genoa · Away29 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.18 |
| M35 | Lecce · Home5 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −3.81 |
| M36 | Milan · Away11 May 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.55 |
| M37 | Sassuolo · Away19 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −2.82 |
| M38 | Fiorentina · Home23 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.68 |
| Total | 36 | −3.68 | |||