Points
36Points expected by the market
37.35Gap
−1.35Yield
+5.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.23 | +7.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 17 | −2.58 | +3.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −1.28 | −24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.68 | −2.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.51 | +115.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 10 | −1.90 | +7.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Verona · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.55 |
| M2 | Monza · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.54 |
| M3 | Juventus · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.30 |
| M4 | Roma · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.53 | −3.83 |
| M5 | Inter · Home24 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | −4.26 |
| M6 | Salernitana · Home27 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.63 |
| M7 | Bologna · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.45 |
| M8 | Udinese · Home6 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −3.74 |
| M9 | Fiorentina · Away23 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.41 | −1.33 |
| M10 | Atalanta · Home30 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.13 |
| M11 | Frosinone · Away6 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.25 |
| M12 | Napoli · Away12 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.55 | −0.70 |
| M13 | Sassuolo · Home26 Nov 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.06 |
| M14 | Genoa · Away2 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.04 |
| M15 | Lecce · Home11 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.50 |
| M16 | Torino · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −3.20 |
| M17 | Lazio · Home22 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.14 |
| M18 | Cagliari · Away30 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −4.21 |
| M19 | Milan · Home7 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.99 |
| M20 | Verona · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −6.09 |
| M21 | Monza · Home21 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.48 |
| M22 | Juventus · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.60 | −3.87 |
| M23 | Genoa · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −4.20 |
| M24 | Salernitana · Away9 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −2.40 |
| M25 | Fiorentina · Home18 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −2.47 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.63 |
| M27 | Cagliari · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −2.18 |
| M28 | Milan · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −2.73 |
| M29 | Bologna · Home15 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.75 |
| M30 | Inter · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −4.06 |
| M31 | Torino · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.92 | −2.15 |
| M32 | Lecce · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.19 |
| M33 | Napoli · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −0.99 |
| M34 | Atalanta · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −1.63 |
| M35 | Frosinone · Home5 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.08 |
| M36 | Lazio · Away12 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.85 |
| M37 | Udinese · Away19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.80 |
| M38 | Roma · Home26 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.35 |
| Total | 36 | −1.35 | |||