Points
60Points expected by the market
58.91Gap
+1.09Yield
+3.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.58 | −3.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 33 | +3.44 | −0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −2.64 | −17.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.87 | +52.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.58 | −3.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 25 | +4.31 | +13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.32 | −32.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.86 | −32.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −1.32 | −10.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +1.78 | +77.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Genoa · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.47 |
| M2 | Lecce · Home27 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.95 | +0.52 |
| M3 | Inter · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.31 |
| M4 | Atalanta · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.34 |
| M5 | Udinese · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.78 |
| M6 | Frosinone · Away28 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.08 |
| M7 | Cagliari · Home2 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +2.99 |
| M8 | Napoli · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.26 | +5.25 |
| M9 | Empoli · Home23 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.21 | +3.03 |
| M10 | Lazio · Away30 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.85 |
| M11 | Juventus · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.54 |
| M12 | Bologna · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.85 |
| M13 | Milan · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.78 |
| M14 | Salernitana · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +1.56 |
| M15 | Roma · Away10 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +1.58 |
| M16 | Verona · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +2.43 |
| M17 | Monza · Away22 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +4.02 |
| M18 | Torino · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +5.39 |
| M19 | Sassuolo · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +3.77 |
| M20 | Udinese · Home14 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.00 | +2.78 |
| M21 | Inter · Home28 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.86 |
| M22 | Lecce · Away2 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.60 | +0.26 |
| M23 | Frosinone · Home11 Feb 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.19 |
| M24 | Bologna · Away14 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.04 |
| M25 | Empoli · Away18 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.68 |
| M26 | Lazio · Home26 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.69 |
| M27 | Torino · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.44 |
| M28 | Roma · Home10 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.02 |
| M29 | Milan · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.22 |
| M30 | Juventus · Away7 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.05 |
| M31 | Genoa · Home15 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −2.87 |
| M32 | Salernitana · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −1.88 |
| M33 | Sassuolo · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.95 | −0.93 |
| M34 | Verona · Away5 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.51 |
| M35 | Monza · Home13 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | −1.63 |
| M36 | Napoli · Home17 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −2.26 |
| M37 | Cagliari · Away23 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.11 | −1.15 |
| M38 | Atalanta · Away2 Jun 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.23 | +1.09 |
| Total | 60 | +1.09 | |||