Points
35Points expected by the market
39.95Gap
−4.95Yield
−44.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | +0.14 | −12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 10 | −7.23 | −76.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +1.68 | +25.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −2.15 | −42.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.54 | −61.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 4 | −5.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Napoli · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.69 |
| M2 | Atalanta · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | +1.53 |
| M3 | Udinese · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | +1.57 |
| M4 | Sassuolo · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.34 |
| M5 | Salernitana · Away22 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +3.10 |
| M6 | Fiorentina · Home28 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +3.07 |
| M7 | Roma · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +2.54 |
| M8 | Verona · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.96 |
| M9 | Bologna · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +3.11 |
| M10 | Cagliari · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.98 |
| M11 | Empoli · Home6 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.38 |
| M12 | Inter · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.31 | +3.07 |
| M13 | Genoa · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.61 |
| M14 | Milan · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +4.01 |
| M15 | Torino · Home10 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +3.94 |
| M16 | Lecce · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.83 |
| M17 | Juventus · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +2.03 |
| M18 | Lazio · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +1.31 |
| M19 | Monza · Home6 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.12 |
| M20 | Atalanta · Away15 Jan 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.68 |
| M21 | Cagliari · Home21 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.82 |
| M22 | Verona · Away28 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.66 |
| M23 | Milan · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.21 |
| M24 | Fiorentina · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.91 |
| M25 | Roma · Home18 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.96 |
| M26 | Juventus · Away25 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.47 | −2.44 |
| M27 | Lecce · Home3 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.95 |
| M28 | Sassuolo · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.20 |
| M29 | Lazio · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.35 |
| M30 | Genoa · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −5.30 |
| M31 | Bologna · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −5.26 |
| M32 | Napoli · Away14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.50 | −4.76 |
| M33 | Torino · Away21 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −4.57 |
| M34 | Salernitana · Home26 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −3.84 |
| M35 | Empoli · Away5 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −4.08 |
| M36 | Inter · Home10 May 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.91 | −4.99 |
| M37 | Monza · Away19 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −3.51 |
| M38 | Udinese · Home26 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −4.95 |
| Total | 35 | −4.95 | |||