Points
49Points expected by the market
44.44Gap
+4.56Yield
−13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.46 | −4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 23 | +4.32 | +31.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 15 | −0.22 | −52.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.46 | −4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.47 | +41.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +0.60 | −32.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.85 | +21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 9 | −0.82 | −62.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fiorentina · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Lazio · Away27 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +0.94 |
| M3 | Torino · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.09 |
| M4 | Napoli · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.15 |
| M5 | Lecce · Away22 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.11 |
| M6 | Roma · Home28 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +0.88 |
| M7 | Udinese · Away1 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.76 |
| M8 | Milan · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.19 |
| M9 | Atalanta · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −0.85 |
| M10 | Salernitana · Home27 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.24 |
| M11 | Cagliari · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.07 |
| M12 | Verona · Home10 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.09 |
| M13 | Frosinone · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.14 |
| M14 | Empoli · Home2 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −1.87 |
| M15 | Monza · Away10 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.97 |
| M16 | Juventus · Home15 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.92 |
| M17 | Sassuolo · Away22 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.16 |
| M18 | Inter · Home29 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.88 |
| M19 | Bologna · Away5 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.98 |
| M20 | Torino · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.22 |
| M21 | Salernitana · Away21 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.30 |
| M22 | Lecce · Home28 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.65 |
| M23 | Empoli · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.30 |
| M24 | Atalanta · Home11 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.30 |
| M25 | Napoli · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.48 |
| M26 | Udinese · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.00 |
| M27 | Inter · Away4 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.39 | +1.61 |
| M28 | Monza · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.64 | −0.03 |
| M29 | Juventus · Away17 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.36 |
| M30 | Frosinone · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.42 |
| M31 | Verona · Away7 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.31 |
| M32 | Fiorentina · Away15 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +1.40 |
| M33 | Lazio · Home19 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.18 |
| M34 | Cagliari · Home29 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.57 |
| M35 | Milan · Away5 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.42 | +1.99 |
| M36 | Sassuolo · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.46 |
| M37 | Roma · Away19 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | +2.84 |
| M38 | Bologna · Home24 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.56 |
| Total | 49 | +4.56 | |||