Points
94Points expected by the market
80.06Gap
+13.94Yield
+22.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 42 | +1.14 | −1.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 48 | +11.84 | +43.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.96 | +20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 26 | −1.28 | −10.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 20 | +4.30 | +30.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 16 | +2.42 | +15.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 28 | +7.55 | +53.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.96 | +20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Monza · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +0.76 |
| M2 | Cagliari · Away28 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +1.54 |
| M3 | Fiorentina · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +2.62 |
| M4 | Milan · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.02 |
| M5 | Empoli · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +4.60 |
| M6 | Sassuolo · Home27 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.42 | +2.18 |
| M7 | Salernitana · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +2.93 |
| M8 | Bologna · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.35 | +1.59 |
| M9 | Torino · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +2.65 |
| M10 | Roma · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +3.56 |
| M11 | Atalanta · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.92 |
| M12 | Frosinone · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +5.35 |
| M13 | Juventus · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.79 |
| M14 | Napoli · Away3 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +6.31 |
| M15 | Udinese · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +6.83 |
| M16 | Lazio · Away17 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +8.04 |
| M17 | Lecce · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +8.63 |
| M18 | Genoa · Away29 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +7.62 |
| M19 | Verona · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.42 | +8.04 |
| M20 | Monza · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +8.79 |
| M21 | Fiorentina · Away28 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +9.98 |
| M22 | Juventus · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +11.11 |
| M23 | Roma · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.18 | +12.30 |
| M24 | Salernitana · Home16 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.33 | +12.63 |
| M25 | Lecce · Away25 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +13.50 |
| M26 | Atalanta · Home28 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +14.48 |
| M27 | Genoa · Home4 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +15.04 |
| M28 | Bologna · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +16.36 |
| M29 | Napoli · Home17 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | +15.29 |
| M30 | Empoli · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +15.73 |
| M31 | Udinese · Away8 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +16.50 |
| M32 | Cagliari · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.56 | +14.93 |
| M33 | Milan · Away22 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +16.25 |
| M34 | Torino · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +17.18 |
| M35 | Sassuolo · Away4 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.11 | +15.07 |
| M36 | Frosinone · Away10 May 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +16.22 |
| M37 | Lazio · Home19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | +15.15 |
| M38 | Verona · Away26 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.21 | +13.94 |
| Total | 94 | +13.94 | |||