Points
71Points expected by the market
67.84Gap
+3.16Yield
−6.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 15 | −3.48 | −30.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 41 | +7.40 | +19.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.84 | −50.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.07 | +85.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 15 | −3.48 | −30.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 20 | +5.18 | +36.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.74 | −24.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +2.22 | +6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.58 | −62.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.07 | +85.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Udinese · Away20 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.31 |
| M2 | Bologna · Home27 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | +0.37 |
| M3 | Empoli · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.37 |
| M4 | Lazio · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.59 |
| M5 | Sassuolo · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.85 | +0.74 |
| M6 | Lecce · Home26 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.60 |
| M7 | Atalanta · Away1 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +1.38 |
| M8 | Torino · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.68 |
| M9 | Milan · Away22 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +4.60 |
| M10 | Verona · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +5.31 |
| M11 | Fiorentina · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +6.92 |
| M12 | Cagliari · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +7.72 |
| M13 | Inter · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +7.59 |
| M14 | Monza · Away1 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +8.82 |
| M15 | Napoli · Home8 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +10.26 |
| M16 | Genoa · Away15 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +9.53 |
| M17 | Frosinone · Away23 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +10.60 |
| M18 | Roma · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +11.94 |
| M19 | Salernitana · Away7 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +12.81 |
| M20 | Sassuolo · Home16 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +13.57 |
| M21 | Lecce · Away21 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +14.67 |
| M22 | Empoli · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.43 | +13.24 |
| M23 | Inter · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +12.38 |
| M24 | Udinese · Home12 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.20 | +10.19 |
| M25 | Verona · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +9.23 |
| M26 | Frosinone · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.65 | +9.87 |
| M27 | Napoli · Away3 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +8.73 |
| M28 | Atalanta · Home10 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | +8.17 |
| M29 | Genoa · Home17 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | +7.01 |
| M30 | Lazio · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +5.50 |
| M31 | Fiorentina · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +6.60 |
| M32 | Torino · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +6.03 |
| M33 | Cagliari · Away19 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +5.21 |
| M34 | Milan · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | +4.59 |
| M35 | Roma · Away5 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +4.18 |
| M36 | Salernitana · Home12 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.61 | +2.57 |
| M37 | Bologna · Away20 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | +2.23 |
| M38 | Monza · Home25 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +3.16 |
| Total | 71 | +3.16 | |||