Points
61Points expected by the market
57.78Gap
+3.22Yield
+10.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.68 | −33.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −2.04 | −12.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 29 | +9.31 | +65.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −3.37 | −34.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.68 | −33.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +0.44 | +1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +2.96 | +35.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.48 | −32.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 15 | +6.35 | +106.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.43 | −25.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lecce · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.64 |
| M2 | Genoa · Home27 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | −3.50 |
| M3 | Napoli · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −1.28 |
| M4 | Juventus · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.23 |
| M5 | Monza · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −3.09 |
| M6 | Torino · Home27 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −1.67 |
| M7 | Milan · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.50 |
| M8 | Atalanta · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.78 |
| M9 | Sassuolo · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.79 |
| M10 | Fiorentina · Home30 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.26 |
| M11 | Bologna · Away3 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.95 |
| M12 | Roma · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.65 |
| M13 | Salernitana · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −1.17 |
| M14 | Cagliari · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −0.12 |
| M15 | Verona · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.91 |
| M16 | Inter · Home17 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.85 |
| M17 | Empoli · Away22 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.63 |
| M18 | Frosinone · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.34 |
| M19 | Udinese · Away7 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.77 |
| M20 | Lecce · Home14 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.73 |
| M21 | Napoli · Home28 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.21 |
| M22 | Atalanta · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.18 |
| M23 | Cagliari · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.56 |
| M24 | Bologna · Home18 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +1.09 |
| M25 | Torino · Away22 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.79 |
| M26 | Fiorentina · Away26 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.71 |
| M27 | Milan · Home1 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.54 |
| M28 | Udinese · Home11 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −1.27 |
| M29 | Frosinone · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.16 |
| M30 | Juventus · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.98 |
| M31 | Roma · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.93 |
| M32 | Salernitana · Home12 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.59 |
| M33 | Genoa · Away19 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.12 |
| M34 | Verona · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +4.10 |
| M35 | Monza · Away4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | +3.27 |
| M36 | Empoli · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.28 |
| M37 | Inter · Away19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | +4.56 |
| M38 | Sassuolo · Home26 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.34 | +3.22 |
| Total | 61 | +3.22 | |||