Points
38Points expected by the market
41.34Gap
−3.34Yield
−42.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.67 | +26.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | 0.00 | −32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 12 | −5.02 | −65.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.67 | +26.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −2.27 | −57.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +0.59 | −8.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.27 | −7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 4 | −5.61 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lazio · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.94 |
| M2 | Fiorentina · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | +2.14 |
| M3 | Salernitana · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.39 |
| M4 | Monza · Away17 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +3.17 |
| M5 | Genoa · Home22 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.74 |
| M6 | Juventus · Away26 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | +4.11 |
| M7 | Napoli · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.85 | +3.26 |
| M8 | Sassuolo · Home6 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +2.90 |
| M9 | Udinese · Away23 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.84 |
| M10 | Torino · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.46 |
| M11 | Roma · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.80 |
| M12 | Milan · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.96 |
| M13 | Verona · Away27 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.63 |
| M14 | Bologna · Home3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.37 |
| M15 | Empoli · Away11 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.13 |
| M16 | Frosinone · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.52 |
| M17 | Inter · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.42 | +1.10 |
| M18 | Atalanta · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | +0.58 |
| M19 | Cagliari · Home6 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.01 |
| M20 | Lazio · Away14 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.72 |
| M21 | Juventus · Home21 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.55 |
| M22 | Genoa · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.60 |
| M23 | Fiorentina · Home2 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.70 |
| M24 | Bologna · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.45 |
| M25 | Torino · Away16 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.34 |
| M26 | Inter · Home25 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.98 |
| M27 | Frosinone · Away3 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −3.17 |
| M28 | Verona · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | −4.80 |
| M29 | Salernitana · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −3.39 |
| M30 | Roma · Home1 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −3.44 |
| M31 | Milan · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | −3.94 |
| M32 | Empoli · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.58 |
| M33 | Sassuolo · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.73 |
| M34 | Monza · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.44 |
| M35 | Cagliari · Away5 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.51 |
| M36 | Udinese · Home13 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.76 |
| M37 | Atalanta · Home18 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.80 |
| M38 | Napoli · Away26 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.46 | −3.34 |
| Total | 38 | −3.34 | |||