Points
75Points expected by the market
68.31Gap
+6.69Yield
+5.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 15 | −3.28 | −30.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 48 | +10.79 | +35.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.30 | −7.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −2.12 | −20.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 25 | +6.38 | +43.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.50 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +4.41 | +27.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.80 | +6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.09 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bologna · Away21 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.31 |
| M2 | Torino · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.40 |
| M3 | Roma · Away1 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.02 |
| M4 | Inter · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.12 | +2.90 |
| M5 | Verona · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +3.63 |
| M6 | Cagliari · Away27 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +4.82 |
| M7 | Lazio · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +5.91 |
| M8 | Genoa · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +7.14 |
| M9 | Juventus · Home22 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +5.50 |
| M10 | Napoli · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +5.34 |
| M11 | Udinese · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.20 | +3.14 |
| M12 | Lecce · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.89 | +2.25 |
| M13 | Fiorentina · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.60 |
| M14 | Frosinone · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +4.40 |
| M15 | Atalanta · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +3.13 |
| M16 | Monza · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.07 |
| M17 | Salernitana · Away22 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.16 | +2.91 |
| M18 | Sassuolo · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +3.81 |
| M19 | Empoli · Away7 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.83 |
| M20 | Roma · Home14 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +6.17 |
| M21 | Udinese · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.22 | +7.39 |
| M22 | Bologna · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | +6.47 |
| M23 | Frosinone · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.11 | +7.58 |
| M24 | Napoli · Home11 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +8.84 |
| M25 | Monza · Away18 Feb 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.89 | +6.95 |
| M26 | Atalanta · Home25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +6.45 |
| M27 | Lazio · Away1 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +7.93 |
| M28 | Empoli · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +8.69 |
| M29 | Verona · Away17 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +9.67 |
| M30 | Fiorentina · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +11.19 |
| M31 | Lecce · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +11.88 |
| M32 | Sassuolo · Away14 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.87 | +11.01 |
| M33 | Inter · Home22 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +9.97 |
| M34 | Juventus · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | +9.88 |
| M35 | Genoa · Home5 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.22 | +8.66 |
| M36 | Cagliari · Home11 May 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +9.63 |
| M37 | Torino · Away18 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +8.36 |
| M38 | Salernitana · Home25 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.67 | +6.69 |
| Total | 75 | +6.69 | |||