Points
45Points expected by the market
43.58Gap
+1.42Yield
−22.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.36 | +56.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +1.87 | +0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 12 | −4.80 | −56.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.36 | +56.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −3.05 | −68.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.19 | −30.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +4.92 | +81.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −2.62 | −70.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inter · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.57 |
| M2 | Empoli · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.68 |
| M3 | Atalanta · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.16 |
| M4 | Lecce · Home17 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.65 |
| M5 | Lazio · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.53 |
| M6 | Bologna · Home28 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.07 |
| M7 | Sassuolo · Away2 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.80 |
| M8 | Salernitana · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.87 |
| M9 | Roma · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | +1.04 |
| M10 | Udinese · Home29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +0.39 |
| M11 | Verona · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.93 |
| M12 | Torino · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.58 |
| M13 | Cagliari · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.23 |
| M14 | Juventus · Home1 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.28 |
| M15 | Genoa · Home10 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.68 |
| M16 | Milan · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +0.96 |
| M17 | Fiorentina · Home22 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.33 |
| M18 | Napoli · Away29 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.06 |
| M19 | Frosinone · Away6 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.65 |
| M20 | Inter · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.55 | +1.10 |
| M21 | Empoli · Away21 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.21 |
| M22 | Sassuolo · Home28 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.18 |
| M23 | Udinese · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +1.12 |
| M24 | Verona · Home11 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +0.55 |
| M25 | Milan · Home18 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.15 | +2.70 |
| M26 | Salernitana · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +4.16 |
| M27 | Roma · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.05 | +3.12 |
| M28 | Genoa · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.94 | +5.06 |
| M29 | Cagliari · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +6.35 |
| M30 | Torino · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +5.44 |
| M31 | Napoli · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.90 | +4.55 |
| M32 | Bologna · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | +4.91 |
| M33 | Atalanta · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +3.92 |
| M34 | Lecce · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +3.92 |
| M35 | Lazio · Home4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | +4.02 |
| M36 | Fiorentina · Away13 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +3.35 |
| M37 | Frosinone · Home19 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.14 |
| M38 | Juventus · Away25 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | +1.42 |
| Total | 45 | +1.42 | |||