Points
53Points expected by the market
68.05Gap
−15.05Yield
−42.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 20 | −0.67 | −8.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 23 | −10.92 | −52.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.77 | −43.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −1.40 | −14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 4 | −11.01 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.36 | −23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +0.09 | −15.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.41 | −53.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Frosinone · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.90 |
| M2 | Sassuolo · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.57 |
| M3 | Lazio · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.99 | −0.42 |
| M4 | Genoa · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.99 | −1.41 |
| M5 | Bologna · Away24 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.06 |
| M6 | Udinese · Home27 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −1.31 |
| M7 | Lecce · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −0.20 |
| M8 | Fiorentina · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.04 | −2.24 |
| M9 | Verona · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −1.26 |
| M10 | Milan · Home29 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −1.82 |
| M11 | Salernitana · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | −1.09 |
| M12 | Empoli · Home12 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.39 | −3.48 |
| M13 | Atalanta · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.79 |
| M14 | Inter · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.03 |
| M15 | Juventus · Away8 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.18 |
| M16 | Cagliari · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −3.43 |
| M17 | Roma · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.83 |
| M18 | Monza · Home29 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.05 | −5.87 |
| M19 | Torino · Away7 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −7.17 |
| M20 | Salernitana · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.63 | −6.54 |
| M21 | Lazio · Away28 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −6.70 |
| M22 | Verona · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | −5.89 |
| M23 | Milan · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −6.88 |
| M24 | Genoa · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −7.80 |
| M25 | Cagliari · Away25 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −8.65 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Away28 Feb 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −7.50 |
| M27 | Juventus · Home3 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −6.06 |
| M28 | Torino · Home8 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −7.00 |
| M29 | Inter · Away17 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | −6.71 |
| M30 | Atalanta · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −8.32 |
| M31 | Monza · Away7 Apr 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.15 | −7.17 |
| M32 | Frosinone · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | −8.50 |
| M33 | Empoli · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.96 | −10.45 |
| M34 | Roma · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | −11.17 |
| M35 | Udinese · Away6 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −11.92 |
| M36 | Bologna · Home11 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −13.67 |
| M37 | Fiorentina · Away17 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −13.76 |
| M38 | Lecce · Home26 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.28 | −15.05 |
| Total | 53 | −15.05 | |||