Points
63Points expected by the market
61.04Gap
+1.96Yield
−10.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 18 | +4.69 | +42.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 33 | +5.72 | +24.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 8 | −5.48 | −70.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.98 | −46.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 18 | +4.69 | +42.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +3.72 | +28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.99 | −41.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +2.00 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.49 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −2.06 | −37.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Salernitana · Home20 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.13 | −1.13 |
| M2 | Verona · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −2.94 |
| M3 | Milan · Home1 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.25 |
| M4 | Empoli · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.73 | −3.51 |
| M5 | Torino · Away24 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.99 |
| M6 | Genoa · Away28 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.69 | −5.68 |
| M7 | Frosinone · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | −4.95 |
| M8 | Cagliari · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −3.84 |
| M9 | Monza · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −2.75 |
| M10 | Inter · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.43 |
| M11 | Lecce · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | −2.52 |
| M12 | Lazio · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.89 |
| M13 | Udinese · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | −1.90 |
| M14 | Sassuolo · Away3 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.55 |
| M15 | Fiorentina · Home10 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −1.29 |
| M16 | Bologna · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.47 |
| M17 | Napoli · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.77 |
| M18 | Juventus · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.79 |
| M19 | Atalanta · Home7 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.36 |
| M20 | Milan · Away14 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.40 |
| M21 | Verona · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.80 | −2.60 |
| M22 | Salernitana · Away29 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −1.55 |
| M23 | Cagliari · Home5 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −0.72 |
| M24 | Inter · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.64 |
| M25 | Frosinone · Away18 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.32 |
| M26 | Torino · Home26 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.92 |
| M27 | Monza · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.26 |
| M28 | Fiorentina · Away10 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.97 |
| M29 | Sassuolo · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +2.73 |
| M30 | Lecce · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.09 |
| M31 | Lazio · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.44 |
| M32 | Bologna · Home22 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.91 |
| M33 | Udinese · Away25 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +3.58 |
| M34 | Napoli · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | +3.57 |
| M35 | Juventus · Home5 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +3.28 |
| M36 | Atalanta · Away12 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.31 |
| M37 | Genoa · Home19 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +3.14 |
| M38 | Empoli · Away26 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.96 |
| Total | 63 | +1.96 | |||