Points
17Points expected by the market
30.89Gap
−13.89Yield
−76.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 4 | −7.76 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 29 | 13 | −6.13 | −69.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 4 | −6.44 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 4 | −4.04 | −58.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.32 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 9 | −2.09 | −76.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Roma · Away20 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.37 |
| M2 | Udinese · Home28 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.05 |
| M3 | Lecce · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.92 |
| M4 | Torino · Home18 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.00 |
| M5 | Frosinone · Home22 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.46 |
| M6 | Empoli · Away27 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.79 |
| M7 | Inter · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −4.34 |
| M8 | Monza · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −5.17 |
| M9 | Cagliari · Home22 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −5.69 |
| M10 | Genoa · Away27 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.52 |
| M11 | Napoli · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −7.07 |
| M12 | Sassuolo · Away10 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | −6.94 |
| M13 | Lazio · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −4.85 |
| M14 | Fiorentina · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −5.42 |
| M15 | Bologna · Home10 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.33 |
| M16 | Atalanta · Away18 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −6.73 |
| M17 | Milan · Home22 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.37 | −6.36 |
| M18 | Verona · Away30 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −4.31 |
| M19 | Juventus · Home7 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −4.95 |
| M20 | Napoli · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −5.40 |
| M21 | Genoa · Home21 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.60 |
| M22 | Roma · Home29 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −7.39 |
| M23 | Torino · Away4 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.30 | −7.09 |
| M24 | Empoli · Home9 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −8.58 |
| M25 | Inter · Away16 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.23 | −8.81 |
| M26 | Monza · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −9.98 |
| M27 | Udinese · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −9.75 |
| M28 | Cagliari · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.90 | −10.65 |
| M29 | Lecce · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −11.77 |
| M30 | Bologna · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | −12.20 |
| M31 | Sassuolo · Home5 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −12.36 |
| M32 | Lazio · Away12 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.48 | −12.83 |
| M33 | Fiorentina · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −13.59 |
| M34 | Frosinone · Away26 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −14.14 |
| M35 | Atalanta · Home6 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −14.56 |
| M36 | Juventus · Away12 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.72 | −13.85 |
| M37 | Verona · Home20 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −14.65 |
| M38 | Milan · Away25 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.76 | −13.89 |
| Total | 17 | −13.89 | |||