Points
30Points expected by the market
42.73Gap
−12.73Yield
−19.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.23 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 15 | −11.80 | −58.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | +0.30 | +34.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.23 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 9 | −5.89 | −47.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.54 | +105.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −5.90 | −70.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −2.23 | −1.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atalanta · Home20 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Napoli · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −1.62 |
| M3 | Verona · Home1 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.34 |
| M4 | Frosinone · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.84 |
| M5 | Juventus · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.09 | +0.25 |
| M6 | Inter · Away27 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.57 | +2.82 |
| M7 | Monza · Home2 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +1.20 |
| M8 | Lecce · Away6 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.84 |
| M9 | Lazio · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.46 |
| M10 | Bologna · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.85 |
| M11 | Torino · Away6 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.90 |
| M12 | Salernitana · Home10 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.89 | −2.80 |
| M13 | Empoli · Away26 Nov 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.17 |
| M14 | Roma · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.24 |
| M15 | Cagliari · Away11 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −3.55 |
| M16 | Udinese · Away17 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.82 |
| M17 | Genoa · Home22 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −5.28 |
| M18 | Milan · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −5.98 |
| M19 | Fiorentina · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −4.10 |
| M20 | Juventus · Away16 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −4.66 |
| M21 | Monza · Away28 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.78 |
| M22 | Bologna · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.52 |
| M23 | Torino · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −6.67 |
| M24 | Atalanta · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −7.16 |
| M25 | Empoli · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −8.72 |
| M26 | Napoli · Home28 Feb 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.90 | −9.62 |
| M27 | Verona · Away3 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −10.85 |
| M28 | Frosinone · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −9.33 |
| M29 | Roma · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −9.89 |
| M30 | Udinese · Home1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −10.19 |
| M31 | Salernitana · Away5 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −10.75 |
| M32 | Milan · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.11 | −10.64 |
| M33 | Lecce · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −12.19 |
| M34 | Fiorentina · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.72 | −12.92 |
| M35 | Inter · Home4 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | −10.60 |
| M36 | Genoa · Away12 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.79 |
| M37 | Cagliari · Home19 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −13.24 |
| M38 | Lazio · Away26 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.52 | −12.73 |
| Total | 30 | −12.73 | |||