Points
53Points expected by the market
54.11Gap
−1.11Yield
−20.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 24 | +0.16 | −10.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 27 | +3.95 | +10.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −5.21 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +1.03 | −5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.56 | +17.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.87 | −27.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +1.39 | +5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −4.31 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cagliari · Home21 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Milan · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.86 |
| M3 | Genoa · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.55 |
| M4 | Salernitana · Away18 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.84 |
| M5 | Roma · Home24 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.63 |
| M6 | Lazio · Away27 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.49 |
| M7 | Verona · Home2 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −1.40 |
| M8 | Juventus · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.39 |
| M9 | Inter · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.20 |
| M10 | Lecce · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −1.50 |
| M11 | Sassuolo · Home6 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.17 |
| M12 | Monza · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.51 |
| M13 | Bologna · Away27 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.66 |
| M14 | Atalanta · Home4 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.08 |
| M15 | Frosinone · Away10 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.57 |
| M16 | Empoli · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.38 |
| M17 | Udinese · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.61 |
| M18 | Fiorentina · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.67 |
| M19 | Napoli · Home7 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.07 |
| M20 | Genoa · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.50 |
| M21 | Cagliari · Away26 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.90 |
| M22 | Salernitana · Home4 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.06 | −0.16 |
| M23 | Sassuolo · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.72 |
| M24 | Lecce · Home16 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.46 |
| M25 | Lazio · Home22 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.91 |
| M26 | Roma · Away26 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.86 |
| M27 | Fiorentina · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.29 |
| M28 | Napoli · Away8 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −2.08 |
| M29 | Udinese · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.46 |
| M30 | Monza · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +0.73 |
| M31 | Empoli · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −0.88 |
| M32 | Juventus · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.98 |
| M33 | Frosinone · Home21 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.93 | −1.91 |
| M34 | Inter · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.60 |
| M35 | Bologna · Home3 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.96 |
| M36 | Verona · Away12 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.39 |
| M37 | Milan · Home18 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.19 |
| M38 | Atalanta · Away26 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.11 |
| Total | 53 | −1.11 | |||