Points
37Points expected by the market
44.45Gap
−7.45Yield
−22.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.41 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −5.54 | −59.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 17 | +3.50 | +39.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.41 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.73 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.78 | −40.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.81 | −29.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 13 | +5.27 | +83.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juventus · Home20 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.02 |
| M2 | Salernitana · Away28 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.41 |
| M3 | Frosinone · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | −2.19 |
| M4 | Cagliari · Away17 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −2.60 |
| M5 | Fiorentina · Home24 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.76 |
| M6 | Napoli · Away27 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −4.32 |
| M7 | Genoa · Home1 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −4.90 |
| M8 | Empoli · Away6 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −5.33 |
| M9 | Lecce · Home23 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −5.97 |
| M10 | Monza · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −6.04 |
| M11 | Milan · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.41 | −3.63 |
| M12 | Atalanta · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −3.73 |
| M13 | Roma · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.48 |
| M14 | Verona · Home3 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.84 | −5.32 |
| M15 | Inter · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.37 | −5.69 |
| M16 | Sassuolo · Home17 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −6.14 |
| M17 | Torino · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −5.90 |
| M18 | Bologna · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −4.02 |
| M19 | Lazio · Home7 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.15 |
| M20 | Fiorentina · Away14 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | −4.91 |
| M21 | Milan · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −5.86 |
| M22 | Atalanta · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −6.52 |
| M23 | Monza · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −7.16 |
| M24 | Juventus · Away12 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.42 | −4.74 |
| M25 | Cagliari · Home18 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −5.53 |
| M26 | Genoa · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.72 |
| M27 | Salernitana · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | −7.70 |
| M28 | Lazio · Away11 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −5.61 |
| M29 | Torino · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −6.91 |
| M30 | Sassuolo · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −7.31 |
| M31 | Inter · Home8 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −7.87 |
| M32 | Verona · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −9.18 |
| M33 | Roma · Home25 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −10.30 |
| M34 | Bologna · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −10.03 |
| M35 | Napoli · Home6 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −10.02 |
| M36 | Lecce · Away13 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −8.45 |
| M37 | Empoli · Home19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −9.20 |
| M38 | Frosinone · Away26 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −7.45 |
| Total | 37 | −7.45 | |||