Points
38Points expected by the market
38.72Gap
−0.72Yield
−30.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.66 | +28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +2.18 | +9.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 13 | −3.57 | −61.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.38 | +9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +1.62 | +9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | +0.37 | −33.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.05 | +68.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.56 | +7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 7 | −3.95 | −74.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Empoli · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.83 |
| M2 | Roma · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +3.93 |
| M3 | Sassuolo · Away1 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.92 |
| M4 | Bologna · Home18 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.78 |
| M5 | Milan · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | +2.25 |
| M6 | Atalanta · Home27 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.31 |
| M7 | Torino · Away2 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.50 |
| M8 | Frosinone · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.36 |
| M9 | Napoli · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.38 |
| M10 | Juventus · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | −0.89 |
| M11 | Monza · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.12 |
| M12 | Genoa · Away10 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.99 |
| M13 | Lecce · Home27 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −3.33 |
| M14 | Udinese · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.11 | −3.22 |
| M15 | Lazio · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −3.16 |
| M16 | Fiorentina · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.80 |
| M17 | Cagliari · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −2.29 |
| M18 | Salernitana · Home30 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −4.06 |
| M19 | Inter · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.30 | −4.37 |
| M20 | Empoli · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −2.98 |
| M21 | Roma · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −3.56 |
| M22 | Frosinone · Home28 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.12 |
| M23 | Napoli · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −4.71 |
| M24 | Monza · Away11 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −4.85 |
| M25 | Juventus · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.23 | −4.62 |
| M26 | Bologna · Away23 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −5.33 |
| M27 | Sassuolo · Home3 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −3.82 |
| M28 | Lecce · Away10 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −1.89 |
| M29 | Milan · Home17 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.63 |
| M30 | Cagliari · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −2.69 |
| M31 | Genoa · Home7 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.09 |
| M32 | Atalanta · Away15 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.39 | −3.70 |
| M33 | Udinese · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.06 |
| M34 | Lazio · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.80 |
| M35 | Fiorentina · Home5 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.93 |
| M36 | Torino · Home12 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.17 |
| M37 | Salernitana · Away20 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −1.12 |
| M38 | Inter · Home26 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.72 |
| Total | 38 | −0.72 | |||