Points
74Points expected by the market
70.25Gap
+3.75Yield
+7.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 26 | +2.67 | +9.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 34 | +0.55 | +4.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.22 | +24.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 17 | +0.47 | −3.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −3.52 | −20.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.93 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.20 | +39.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +4.08 | +35.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.15 | +59.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lecce · Away19 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.37 |
| M2 | Torino · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −0.23 |
| M3 | Inter · Away30 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.91 |
| M4 | Fiorentina · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.28 |
| M5 | Como · Home24 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.11 | −1.83 |
| M6 | Bologna · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.23 |
| M7 | Genoa · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.79 | −1.43 |
| M8 | Venezia · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −0.56 |
| M9 | Verona · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +0.04 |
| M10 | Monza · Home30 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +0.67 |
| M11 | Napoli · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.52 |
| M12 | Udinese · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +3.34 |
| M13 | Parma · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.28 |
| M14 | Roma · Away2 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +5.65 |
| M15 | Milan · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +7.04 |
| M16 | Cagliari · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +8.00 |
| M17 | Empoli · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.60 | +8.60 |
| M18 | Lazio · Away28 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +8.10 |
| M19 | Udinese · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +7.09 |
| M20 | Juventus · Home14 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +6.45 |
| M21 | Napoli · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +4.91 |
| M22 | Como · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +6.14 |
| M23 | Torino · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | +5.06 |
| M24 | Verona · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +5.88 |
| M25 | Cagliari · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.10 | +4.78 |
| M26 | Empoli · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +5.65 |
| M27 | Venezia · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.53 | +4.12 |
| M28 | Juventus · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +5.80 |
| M29 | Inter · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +4.41 |
| M30 | Fiorentina · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +2.75 |
| M31 | Lazio · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.95 | +0.79 |
| M32 | Bologna · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.05 |
| M33 | Milan · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.69 |
| M34 | Lecce · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.44 | +2.25 |
| M35 | Monza · Away4 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +2.77 |
| M36 | Roma · Home12 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +4.09 |
| M37 | Genoa · Away17 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +5.56 |
| M38 | Parma · Home25 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.80 | +3.75 |
| Total | 74 | +3.75 | |||