Points
62Points expected by the market
58.49Gap
+3.51Yield
−3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 31 | −0.48 | −16.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 26 | +6.57 | +33.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.42 | −39.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +2.23 | +6.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.06 | +42.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.71 | −49.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.51 | +21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.42 | −39.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Udinese · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −0.69 |
| M2 | Napoli · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.67 |
| M3 | Empoli · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −2.60 |
| M4 | Como · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −3.02 |
| M5 | Monza · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.47 |
| M6 | Atalanta · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.76 |
| M7 | Parma · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.47 |
| M8 | Genoa · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | −3.19 |
| M9 | Cagliari · Away29 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.72 |
| M10 | Lecce · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.61 |
| M11 | Roma · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.92 | +1.31 |
| M12 | Lazio · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +0.43 |
| M13 | Venezia · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.61 |
| M14 | Juventus · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +1.78 |
| M15 | Fiorentina · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.42 |
| M16 | Torino · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +4.91 |
| M17 | Verona · Home30 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.11 | +2.79 |
| M18 | Roma · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.43 |
| M19 | Inter · Away15 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | +2.76 |
| M20 | Monza · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +3.71 |
| M21 | Empoli · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +3.02 |
| M22 | Como · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +4.28 |
| M23 | Lecce · Away9 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +3.52 |
| M24 | Torino · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.61 |
| M25 | Parma · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.86 | +2.75 |
| M26 | Milan · Home27 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.47 |
| M27 | Cagliari · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.55 |
| M28 | Verona · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +6.62 |
| M29 | Lazio · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +8.07 |
| M30 | Venezia · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +9.19 |
| M31 | Napoli · Home7 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +8.78 |
| M32 | Atalanta · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +7.80 |
| M33 | Inter · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +9.66 |
| M34 | Udinese · Away28 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +8.77 |
| M35 | Juventus · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +8.24 |
| M36 | Milan · Away9 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +7.09 |
| M37 | Fiorentina · Away18 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +5.66 |
| M38 | Genoa · Home24 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.15 | +3.51 |
| Total | 62 | +3.51 | |||