Points
36Points expected by the market
41.28Gap
−5.28Yield
−38.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.22 | +52.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.75 | −23.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 11 | −6.76 | −66.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.22 | +52.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.73 | −25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −3.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.01 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 9 | −2.79 | −51.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Roma · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.06 |
| M2 | Como · Home26 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.62 |
| M3 | Lecce · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.75 |
| M4 | Napoli · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.64 |
| M5 | Empoli · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −4.31 |
| M6 | Parma · Away30 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.95 | −2.36 |
| M7 | Juventus · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | −1.99 |
| M8 | Torino · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.48 |
| M9 | Udinese · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.59 |
| M10 | Bologna · Home29 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.77 |
| M11 | Lazio · Away4 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −3.45 |
| M12 | Milan · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.19 | −3.26 |
| M13 | Genoa · Away24 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −3.51 |
| M14 | Verona · Home29 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −2.25 |
| M15 | Fiorentina · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −2.95 |
| M16 | Atalanta · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.68 |
| M17 | Venezia · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.97 |
| M18 | Inter · Home28 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −5.53 |
| M19 | Monza · Away5 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −3.74 |
| M20 | Milan · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −3.24 |
| M21 | Lecce · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −1.98 |
| M22 | Torino · Away24 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.09 |
| M23 | Lazio · Home3 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.11 |
| M24 | Parma · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | −2.86 |
| M25 | Atalanta · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | −2.54 |
| M26 | Juventus · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.43 |
| M27 | Bologna · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.24 |
| M28 | Genoa · Home7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −4.71 |
| M29 | Roma · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −5.34 |
| M30 | Monza · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −4.21 |
| M31 | Empoli · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.48 |
| M32 | Inter · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −4.94 |
| M33 | Fiorentina · Home23 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −6.19 |
| M34 | Verona · Away28 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −4.32 |
| M35 | Udinese · Home3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −5.75 |
| M36 | Como · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −6.63 |
| M37 | Venezia · Home18 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −4.97 |
| M38 | Napoli · Away23 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −5.28 |
| Total | 36 | −5.28 | |||