Points
49Points expected by the market
50.02Gap
−1.02Yield
−10.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 28 | +5.95 | +24.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −3.54 | −50.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −3.43 | −9.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.53 | +11.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.48 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −1.03 | +4.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.42 | +89.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.06 | −39.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −2.40 | −22.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juventus · Away19 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −0.67 |
| M2 | Cagliari · Away26 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.82 |
| M3 | Udinese · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.97 |
| M4 | Bologna · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.24 |
| M5 | Atalanta · Away24 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.32 | +0.09 |
| M6 | Verona · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.31 |
| M7 | Napoli · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.65 |
| M8 | Parma · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.21 |
| M9 | Torino · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.50 |
| M10 | Lazio · Home31 Oct 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.71 |
| M11 | Empoli · Away4 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −4.07 |
| M12 | Genoa · Away7 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.57 |
| M13 | Fiorentina · Home24 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.57 |
| M14 | Monza · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −6.34 |
| M15 | Venezia · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −6.71 |
| M16 | Roma · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −4.76 |
| M17 | Inter · Away23 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −5.26 |
| M18 | Lecce · Home30 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −4.24 |
| M19 | Lazio · Away10 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −4.26 |
| M20 | Milan · Home14 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.17 |
| M21 | Udinese · Home20 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.80 |
| M22 | Atalanta · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.76 |
| M23 | Bologna · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.74 |
| M24 | Juventus · Home7 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −6.82 |
| M25 | Fiorentina · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.03 |
| M26 | Napoli · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −3.15 |
| M27 | Roma · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.14 |
| M28 | Venezia · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | −5.15 |
| M29 | Milan · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.05 |
| M30 | Empoli · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −6.95 |
| M31 | Monza · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −5.89 |
| M32 | Torino · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −4.71 |
| M33 | Lecce · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.35 |
| M34 | Genoa · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −2.22 |
| M35 | Parma · Away3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.77 |
| M36 | Cagliari · Home10 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.36 |
| M37 | Verona · Away18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.13 |
| M38 | Inter · Home23 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −1.02 |
| Total | 49 | −1.02 | |||