Points
31Points expected by the market
39.43Gap
−8.43Yield
−43.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.38 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.25 | −30.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 12 | −5.80 | −51.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.47 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.59 | −42.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −4.44 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.09 | +74.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +1.35 | +4.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −1.36 | −24.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Monza · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.47 |
| M2 | Roma · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.40 | +1.93 |
| M3 | Bologna · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | +2.13 |
| M4 | Juventus · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | +2.39 |
| M5 | Cagliari · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +4.36 |
| M6 | Fiorentina · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +4.23 |
| M7 | Lazio · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +3.52 |
| M8 | Napoli · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +2.74 |
| M9 | Parma · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +2.62 |
| M10 | Inter · Home30 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | +2.08 |
| M11 | Como · Home4 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +3.75 |
| M12 | Lecce · Away8 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +3.66 |
| M13 | Udinese · Home25 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +3.38 |
| M14 | Milan · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.47 | +2.90 |
| M15 | Verona · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +4.65 |
| M16 | Torino · Home13 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +3.21 |
| M17 | Atalanta · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.43 | +2.78 |
| M18 | Genoa · Home28 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.33 |
| M19 | Venezia · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.05 |
| M20 | Lecce · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −0.65 |
| M21 | Inter · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −1.11 |
| M22 | Bologna · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −1.13 |
| M23 | Juventus · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −1.69 |
| M24 | Milan · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.49 |
| M25 | Udinese · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.43 |
| M26 | Atalanta · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.65 | −4.07 |
| M27 | Genoa · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −3.99 |
| M28 | Roma · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.01 |
| M29 | Torino · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −5.91 |
| M30 | Como · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −5.74 |
| M31 | Cagliari · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −6.16 |
| M32 | Napoli · Away14 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −6.74 |
| M33 | Venezia · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −7.30 |
| M34 | Fiorentina · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −8.32 |
| M35 | Lazio · Home4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −9.23 |
| M36 | Parma · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −7.75 |
| M37 | Monza · Away18 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −6.66 |
| M38 | Verona · Home25 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −8.43 |
| Total | 31 | −8.43 | |||