Points
65Points expected by the market
55.49Gap
+9.51Yield
+26.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.30 | −25.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | −0.38 | −5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +5.29 | +53.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 14 | +4.91 | +47.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.30 | −25.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.02 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.99 | +87.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 9 | +5.87 | +271.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.37 | −2.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.30 | +20.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.96 | −48.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Parma · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.62 |
| M2 | Venezia · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | −1.78 |
| M3 | Monza · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | −2.63 |
| M4 | Atalanta · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.55 |
| M5 | Lazio · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −2.05 |
| M6 | Empoli · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −2.64 |
| M7 | Milan · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −0.71 |
| M8 | Lecce · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.76 |
| M9 | Roma · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.32 |
| M10 | Genoa · Away31 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +3.37 |
| M11 | Torino · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.75 |
| M12 | Verona · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +5.61 |
| M13 | Como · Away24 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +6.89 |
| M14 | Cagliari · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +7.82 |
| M15 | Bologna · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +6.49 |
| M16 | Udinese · Home23 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +4.48 |
| M17 | Juventus · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +4.56 |
| M18 | Napoli · Home4 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | +3.41 |
| M19 | Monza · Away13 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | +1.63 |
| M20 | Torino · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +0.74 |
| M21 | Lazio · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +2.67 |
| M22 | Genoa · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +3.87 |
| M23 | Inter · Home6 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +5.86 |
| M24 | Inter · Away10 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | +5.22 |
| M25 | Como · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +3.73 |
| M26 | Verona · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +2.05 |
| M27 | Lecce · Home28 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.24 |
| M28 | Napoli · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +2.55 |
| M29 | Juventus · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +4.38 |
| M30 | Atalanta · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +6.32 |
| M31 | Milan · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | +6.44 |
| M32 | Parma · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | +5.54 |
| M33 | Cagliari · Away23 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +7.10 |
| M34 | Empoli · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +8.43 |
| M35 | Roma · Away4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | +7.58 |
| M36 | Venezia · Away12 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +6.26 |
| M37 | Bologna · Home18 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | +8.00 |
| M38 | Udinese · Away25 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +9.51 |
| Total | 65 | +9.51 | |||