Points
43Points expected by the market
41.40Gap
+1.60Yield
−14.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.26 | +17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +1.78 | −9.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 15 | −1.44 | −24.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.26 | +17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.63 | −22.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −4.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.14 | +2.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 12 | +2.63 | +21.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inter · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.37 |
| M2 | Monza · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +2.06 |
| M3 | Verona · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +0.39 |
| M4 | Roma · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.28 |
| M5 | Venezia · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.13 |
| M6 | Juventus · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.96 |
| M7 | Atalanta · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.59 | −2.55 |
| M8 | Bologna · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.53 |
| M9 | Lazio · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −3.11 |
| M10 | Fiorentina · Home31 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.91 |
| M11 | Parma · Away4 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | −1.80 |
| M12 | Como · Home7 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.98 |
| M13 | Cagliari · Home24 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.44 |
| M14 | Udinese · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −0.41 |
| M15 | Torino · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.88 |
| M16 | Milan · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.54 |
| M17 | Napoli · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.32 |
| M18 | Empoli · Away28 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.46 |
| M19 | Lecce · Away5 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.09 |
| M20 | Parma · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.36 |
| M21 | Roma · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +0.75 |
| M22 | Monza · Home27 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.19 |
| M23 | Fiorentina · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.26 |
| M24 | Torino · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +1.12 |
| M25 | Venezia · Home17 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.27 |
| M26 | Inter · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.44 | +1.82 |
| M27 | Empoli · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.03 |
| M28 | Cagliari · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.82 |
| M29 | Lecce · Home14 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.13 |
| M30 | Juventus · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | +1.50 |
| M31 | Udinese · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.98 |
| M32 | Verona · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.63 |
| M33 | Lazio · Home23 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.56 |
| M34 | Como · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.70 |
| M35 | Milan · Home5 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.17 |
| M36 | Napoli · Away11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.40 |
| M37 | Atalanta · Home17 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.77 |
| M38 | Bologna · Away24 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.38 | +1.60 |
| Total | 43 | +1.60 | |||