Points
81Points expected by the market
79.02Gap
+1.98Yield
−5.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | 57 | +8.30 | +14.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 20 | −6.00 | −35.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.32 | −6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 36 | +7.43 | +30.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −6.67 | −78.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 21 | +0.86 | −7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +0.67 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.32 | −6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Genoa · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.15 | −1.15 |
| M2 | Lecce · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −0.67 |
| M3 | Atalanta · Home30 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.23 |
| M4 | Monza · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.28 | −1.06 |
| M5 | Milan · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | −3.00 |
| M6 | Udinese · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.80 | −2.20 |
| M7 | Torino · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.65 | −1.55 |
| M8 | Roma · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −0.30 |
| M9 | Juventus · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.86 | −1.16 |
| M10 | Empoli · Away30 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −0.41 |
| M11 | Venezia · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +0.03 |
| M12 | Napoli · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.82 |
| M13 | Verona · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.82 | 0.00 |
| M14 | Parma · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.45 | +0.45 |
| M15 | Lazio · Away16 Dec 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.85 |
| M16 | Como · Home23 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +2.53 |
| M17 | Cagliari · Away28 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +3.28 |
| M18 | Venezia · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +3.95 |
| M19 | Bologna · Home15 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.11 | +2.85 |
| M20 | Empoli · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +3.49 |
| M21 | Lecce · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +4.17 |
| M22 | Milan · Away2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +3.38 |
| M23 | Fiorentina · Away6 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.72 | +1.67 |
| M24 | Fiorentina · Home10 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.51 |
| M25 | Juventus · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +0.84 |
| M26 | Genoa · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +1.46 |
| M27 | Napoli · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.01 |
| M28 | Monza · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.37 | +1.38 |
| M29 | Atalanta · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +3.07 |
| M30 | Udinese · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +3.86 |
| M31 | Parma · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.17 | +2.69 |
| M32 | Cagliari · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +3.33 |
| M33 | Bologna · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.78 |
| M34 | Roma · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −0.09 |
| M35 | Verona · Home3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +0.73 |
| M36 | Torino · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.80 |
| M37 | Lazio · Home18 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +0.86 |
| M38 | Como · Away23 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.98 |
| Total | 81 | +1.98 | |||