Points
70Points expected by the market
67.37Gap
+2.63Yield
−14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 21 | +0.57 | −9.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 36 | +3.87 | +5.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.84 | −73.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.03 | +28.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 18 | −0.27 | −16.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +1.48 | −3.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.38 | −21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.96 | +284.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +2.39 | +12.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.46 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Como · Home19 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +0.91 |
| M2 | Verona · Away26 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.07 |
| M3 | Roma · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +1.18 |
| M4 | Empoli · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +0.17 |
| M5 | Napoli · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.32 |
| M6 | Genoa · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.80 |
| M7 | Cagliari · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | −0.35 |
| M8 | Lazio · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.98 |
| M9 | Inter · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.13 | +1.11 |
| M10 | Parma · Home30 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.20 | −0.08 |
| M11 | Udinese · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.18 |
| M12 | Torino · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.11 |
| M13 | Milan · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.92 |
| M14 | Lecce · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +0.92 |
| M15 | Bologna · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | +0.04 |
| M16 | Venezia · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.28 | −1.24 |
| M17 | Monza · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | −0.30 |
| M18 | Fiorentina · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | −1.10 |
| M19 | Torino · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.81 |
| M20 | Atalanta · Away14 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −1.87 |
| M21 | Milan · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.38 |
| M22 | Napoli · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.59 |
| M23 | Empoli · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.77 | −0.82 |
| M24 | Como · Away7 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.56 |
| M25 | Inter · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +2.52 |
| M26 | Cagliari · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.69 |
| M27 | Verona · Home3 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +4.35 |
| M28 | Atalanta · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.37 | +2.98 |
| M29 | Fiorentina · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.47 |
| M30 | Genoa · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.35 |
| M31 | Roma · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +2.12 |
| M32 | Lecce · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +2.80 |
| M33 | Parma · Away23 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | +0.88 |
| M34 | Monza · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +1.38 |
| M35 | Bologna · Away4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.23 |
| M36 | Lazio · Away10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.04 |
| M37 | Udinese · Home18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +1.80 |
| M38 | Venezia · Away25 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.63 |
| Total | 70 | +2.63 | |||