Points
65Points expected by the market
61.75Gap
+3.25Yield
+5.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −1.31 | −17.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 34 | +4.06 | +10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.72 | −23.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +1.22 | +63.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −1.31 | −17.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.09 | −18.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.70 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.11 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +4.15 | +39.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.97 | +40.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.33 | +95.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Venezia · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.75 |
| M2 | Udinese · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.78 |
| M3 | Milan · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.09 |
| M4 | Verona · Home16 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −0.15 |
| M5 | Fiorentina · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.36 |
| M6 | Torino · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.19 |
| M7 | Empoli · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +1.15 |
| M8 | Juventus · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.12 |
| M9 | Genoa · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.90 |
| M10 | Como · Away31 Oct 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.41 |
| M11 | Cagliari · Home4 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +3.33 |
| M12 | Monza · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +4.44 |
| M13 | Bologna · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +5.59 |
| M14 | Parma · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.88 | +3.72 |
| M15 | Napoli · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +5.83 |
| M16 | Inter · Home16 Dec 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.11 | +4.72 |
| M17 | Lecce · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +5.69 |
| M18 | Atalanta · Home28 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +5.49 |
| M19 | Roma · Away5 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +4.25 |
| M20 | Como · Home10 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +3.55 |
| M21 | Verona · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.66 |
| M22 | Fiorentina · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +3.02 |
| M23 | Cagliari · Away3 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.32 |
| M24 | Monza · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +4.94 |
| M25 | Napoli · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +4.46 |
| M26 | Venezia · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.02 | +3.44 |
| M27 | Milan · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +5.34 |
| M28 | Udinese · Home10 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +4.49 |
| M29 | Bologna · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.13 | +3.36 |
| M30 | Torino · Home31 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +2.50 |
| M31 | Atalanta · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | +4.70 |
| M32 | Roma · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +4.48 |
| M33 | Genoa · Away23 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +5.86 |
| M34 | Parma · Home28 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.27 | +4.59 |
| M35 | Empoli · Away4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +5.76 |
| M36 | Juventus · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +5.26 |
| M37 | Inter · Away18 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | +5.44 |
| M38 | Lecce · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.20 | +3.25 |
| Total | 65 | +3.25 | |||