Points
34Points expected by the market
37.91Gap
−3.91Yield
−26.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.70 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +0.62 | −14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 13 | −5.23 | −36.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.70 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +0.65 | −9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −5.37 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.02 | −22.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | +0.13 | +2.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atalanta · Home19 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.09 |
| M2 | Inter · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −1.42 |
| M3 | Cagliari · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | 0.00 |
| M4 | Torino · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.07 |
| M5 | Parma · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.56 |
| M6 | Milan · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −1.02 |
| M7 | Udinese · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.27 |
| M8 | Fiorentina · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.43 |
| M9 | Napoli · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.47 | −3.91 |
| M10 | Verona · Home29 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.48 |
| M11 | Bologna · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.32 |
| M12 | Empoli · Home8 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.90 |
| M13 | Venezia · Away25 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −2.02 |
| M14 | Juventus · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −1.74 |
| M15 | Roma · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.65 | −2.38 |
| M16 | Monza · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.76 |
| M17 | Lazio · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.49 |
| M18 | Como · Away30 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.26 |
| M19 | Genoa · Home5 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.56 |
| M20 | Empoli · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.55 |
| M21 | Cagliari · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.52 |
| M22 | Inter · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.01 |
| M23 | Parma · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.23 |
| M24 | Bologna · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.17 |
| M25 | Monza · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.52 |
| M26 | Udinese · Home21 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.80 |
| M27 | Fiorentina · Away28 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.70 |
| M28 | Milan · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.58 |
| M29 | Genoa · Away14 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.56 |
| M30 | Roma · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −5.38 |
| M31 | Venezia · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −5.90 |
| M32 | Juventus · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −6.38 |
| M33 | Como · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −7.46 |
| M34 | Atalanta · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.60 | −6.86 |
| M35 | Napoli · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −7.46 |
| M36 | Verona · Away11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −7.66 |
| M37 | Torino · Home18 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −6.33 |
| M38 | Lazio · Away25 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.41 | −3.91 |
| Total | 34 | −3.91 | |||