Points
63Points expected by the market
67.48Gap
−4.48Yield
−15.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 22 | +3.08 | +14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 31 | −1.24 | −7.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 6 | −7.59 | −77.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.26 | +72.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 22 | +3.08 | +14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −3.55 | −63.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −2.31 | −55.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +2.31 | +15.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 1 | −5.28 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.21 | +158.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Torino · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Parma · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −3.13 |
| M3 | Lazio · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −3.54 |
| M4 | Venezia · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.58 | −2.96 |
| M5 | Inter · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | −0.76 |
| M6 | Lecce · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.61 | −0.15 |
| M7 | Fiorentina · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.82 |
| M8 | Udinese · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −1.10 |
| M9 | Napoli · Home29 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.43 |
| M10 | Monza · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −1.44 |
| M11 | Cagliari · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.95 | −2.40 |
| M12 | Juventus · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.91 |
| M13 | Empoli · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −2.25 |
| M14 | Atalanta · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.36 |
| M15 | Genoa · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.11 | −4.47 |
| M16 | Verona · Away20 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −3.48 |
| M17 | Roma · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.00 |
| M18 | Cagliari · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.33 | −5.33 |
| M19 | Como · Away14 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −4.15 |
| M20 | Juventus · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.33 |
| M21 | Parma · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.60 | −4.73 |
| M22 | Inter · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −4.68 |
| M23 | Empoli · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −3.63 |
| M24 | Verona · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.69 | −2.94 |
| M25 | Torino · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −4.71 |
| M26 | Bologna · Away27 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.14 |
| M27 | Lazio · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −7.75 |
| M28 | Lecce · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.15 | −6.60 |
| M29 | Como · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −5.44 |
| M30 | Napoli · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −6.43 |
| M31 | Fiorentina · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.86 | −7.29 |
| M32 | Udinese · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −6.07 |
| M33 | Atalanta · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −7.44 |
| M34 | Venezia · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −6.42 |
| M35 | Genoa · Away5 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −5.30 |
| M36 | Bologna · Home9 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −3.87 |
| M37 | Roma · Away18 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.03 |
| M38 | Monza · Home24 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.55 | −4.48 |
| Total | 63 | −4.48 | |||