Points
18Points expected by the market
34.15Gap
−16.15Yield
−65.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.64 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 6 | −8.51 | −69.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 11 | −7.01 | −61.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.64 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 2 | −7.50 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −3.10 | −60.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.00 | −15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 6 | −3.90 | −62.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Empoli · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.22 |
| M2 | Genoa · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.60 |
| M3 | Fiorentina · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.47 |
| M4 | Inter · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | −1.00 |
| M5 | Bologna · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.22 |
| M6 | Napoli · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −2.67 |
| M7 | Roma · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −2.66 |
| M8 | Verona · Away21 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −0.83 |
| M9 | Venezia · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.47 |
| M10 | Atalanta · Away30 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −1.92 |
| M11 | Milan · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.66 |
| M12 | Lazio · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.49 |
| M13 | Torino · Away24 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.51 |
| M14 | Como · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −3.45 |
| M15 | Udinese · Home9 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.83 |
| M16 | Lecce · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.14 |
| M17 | Juventus · Home22 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −6.82 |
| M18 | Parma · Away28 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −8.12 |
| M19 | Cagliari · Home5 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −9.61 |
| M20 | Fiorentina · Home13 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | −7.54 |
| M21 | Bologna · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −8.24 |
| M22 | Genoa · Away27 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −9.36 |
| M23 | Verona · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −10.84 |
| M24 | Lazio · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.45 | −11.29 |
| M25 | Lecce · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −11.63 |
| M26 | Roma · Away24 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.41 | −12.04 |
| M27 | Torino · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −12.96 |
| M28 | Inter · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.26 | −13.22 |
| M29 | Parma · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −13.44 |
| M30 | Cagliari · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −14.30 |
| M31 | Como · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −15.11 |
| M32 | Venezia · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −15.98 |
| M33 | Napoli · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.46 | −16.44 |
| M34 | Juventus · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −16.80 |
| M35 | Atalanta · Home4 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.37 | −17.17 |
| M36 | Udinese · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | −14.92 |
| M37 | Empoli · Home18 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −15.75 |
| M38 | Milan · Away24 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −16.15 |
| Total | 18 | −16.15 | |||