Points
82Points expected by the market
71.22Gap
+10.78Yield
+9.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 34 | +1.83 | −4.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 31 | +6.42 | +33.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.43 | +8.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 26 | +2.66 | +6.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 15 | +3.57 | +45.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.25 | −15.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −0.83 | −29.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +2.85 | +23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.68 | +18.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.10 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Verona · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.93 | −1.93 |
| M2 | Bologna · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.66 |
| M3 | Parma · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.13 |
| M4 | Cagliari · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.28 |
| M5 | Juventus · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +1.08 |
| M6 | Monza · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +1.70 |
| M7 | Como · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.57 |
| M8 | Empoli · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +3.62 |
| M9 | Lecce · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +4.27 |
| M10 | Milan · Away29 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.89 |
| M11 | Atalanta · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +4.34 |
| M12 | Inter · Away10 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +4.44 |
| M13 | Roma · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.51 |
| M14 | Torino · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.57 |
| M15 | Lazio · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | +4.73 |
| M16 | Udinese · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.80 |
| M17 | Genoa · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +6.85 |
| M18 | Venezia · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +7.43 |
| M19 | Fiorentina · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +8.89 |
| M20 | Verona · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +9.54 |
| M21 | Atalanta · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.84 | +11.39 |
| M22 | Juventus · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +12.93 |
| M23 | Roma · Away2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +12.33 |
| M24 | Udinese · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.20 | +11.13 |
| M25 | Lazio · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | +10.92 |
| M26 | Como · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +9.36 |
| M27 | Inter · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +9.13 |
| M28 | Fiorentina · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +10.07 |
| M29 | Venezia · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | +8.90 |
| M30 | Milan · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +10.16 |
| M31 | Bologna · Away7 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +9.90 |
| M32 | Empoli · Home14 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +10.69 |
| M33 | Monza · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +11.34 |
| M34 | Torino · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +12.05 |
| M35 | Lecce · Away3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +12.89 |
| M36 | Genoa · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.39 | +11.50 |
| M37 | Parma · Away18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | +10.33 |
| M38 | Cagliari · Home23 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +10.78 |
| Total | 82 | +10.78 | |||