Points
36Points expected by the market
39.37Gap
−3.37Yield
−21.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 2 | −6.41 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.90 | −35.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 25 | +5.94 | −0.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 2 | −6.41 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.74 | −48.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 15 | +7.55 | +118.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.16 | −19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −1.61 | −71.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fiorentina · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.10 |
| M2 | Milan · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +2.14 |
| M3 | Napoli · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | +1.54 |
| M4 | Udinese · Home16 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.03 |
| M5 | Lecce · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.11 |
| M6 | Cagliari · Home30 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.80 |
| M7 | Bologna · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −1.83 |
| M8 | Como · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −1.72 |
| M9 | Empoli · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −2.33 |
| M10 | Juventus · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | −1.93 |
| M11 | Genoa · Home4 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | −3.79 |
| M12 | Venezia · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −1.95 |
| M13 | Atalanta · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.67 |
| M14 | Lazio · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.13 | −0.54 |
| M15 | Inter · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.33 | −0.87 |
| M16 | Verona · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −2.54 |
| M17 | Roma · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.56 | −3.10 |
| M18 | Monza · Home28 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.49 |
| M19 | Torino · Away5 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.16 | −1.34 |
| M20 | Genoa · Away12 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.33 |
| M21 | Venezia · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −2.92 |
| M22 | Milan · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −3.37 |
| M23 | Lecce · Home31 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.85 |
| M24 | Cagliari · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.83 |
| M25 | Roma · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.89 |
| M26 | Bologna · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | −4.77 |
| M27 | Udinese · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −5.70 |
| M28 | Torino · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.84 |
| M29 | Monza · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −6.32 |
| M30 | Verona · Away31 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −6.68 |
| M31 | Inter · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.38 | −6.29 |
| M32 | Fiorentina · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −6.13 |
| M33 | Juventus · Home23 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −3.95 |
| M34 | Lazio · Away28 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.46 | −3.49 |
| M35 | Como · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.65 |
| M36 | Empoli · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.81 |
| M37 | Napoli · Home18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.38 | −5.43 |
| M38 | Atalanta · Away25 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.06 | −3.37 |
| Total | 36 | −3.37 | |||